Takeover Tracker
29%medium risk
Geothermal Technicians
vs

57 shared · 24 different

core competencies

30%medium risk
Maintenance Workers, Machinery

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricGeothermal TechniciansMaintenance Workers, Machinery
Risk Score28.6%29.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile32th37th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)6 / 1510 / 15
Median Salary$48,640$60,500
Employment184K57K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Processing Information
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Assisting and Caring for Others
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Documenting/Recording Information
Chemistry
Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information
Interacting With Computers
Training and Teaching Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Geothermal Technicians

29%

total discount

Maintenance Workers, Machinery

27%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Geothermal Technicians

6 of 15 at risk
88%Collect and record data associated with operating geothermal power plants or well fields.
86%Adjust power production systems to meet load and distribution demands.
86%Prepare and maintain logs, reports, or other documentation of work performed.
84%Monitor and adjust operations of geothermal power plant equipment or systems.
55%Determine whether emergency or auxiliary systems will be needed to keep properties heated or cooled in extreme weather conditions.

Maintenance Workers, Machinery

10 of 15 at risk
88%Inventory and requisition machine parts, equipment, and other supplies so that stock can be maintained and replenished.
86%Read work orders and specifications to determine machines and equipment requiring repair or maintenance.
86%Record production, repair, and machine maintenance information.
61%Transport machine parts, tools, equipment, and other material between work areas and storage, using cranes, hoists, or dollies.
57%Set up and operate machines, and adjust controls to regulate operations.

Wage Comparison

Maintenance Workers, Machinery earns +$11,860(+24%) vs Geothermal Technicians
Geothermal TechniciansMaintenance Workers, Machinery
10th
$35,270$40,080
25th
$40,700$48,600
Median
$48,640$60,500
75th
$61,090$72,260
90th
$77,150$83,560

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Geothermal Technicians2028–2035
Maintenance Workers, Machinery2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Geothermal Technicians has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Maintenance Workers, Machinery.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Geothermal Technicians

$34,710

from $48,640

Maintenance Workers, Machinery

$42,562

from $60,500

After adjusting for AI risk, Maintenance Workers, Machinery offers $7,852 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Geothermal

0

Unique to Maintenance

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Geothermal TechniciansMaintenance Workers, Machinery
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