Takeover Tracker
21%low risk
Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists
vs

43 shared · 19 different

core competencies

20%low risk
Barbers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricHairdressers, Hairstylists, and CosmetologistsBarbers
Risk Score21.5%19.8%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile10th6th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 155 / 15
Median Salary$35,250$38,960
Employment295K18K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Selling or Influencing Others
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Training and Teaching Others
Sales and Marketing
Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Developing and Building Teams
Originality
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists

33%

total discount

Barbers

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists

5 of 15 at risk
86%Operate cash registers to receive payments from patrons.
84%Order, display, and maintain supplies.
65%Schedule client appointments.
61%Update and maintain customer information records, such as beauty services provided.
53%Analyze patrons' hair and other physical features to determine and recommend beauty treatment or suggest hair styles.

Barbers

5 of 15 at risk
87%Record services provided on cashiers' tickets or receive payment from customers.
87%Order supplies.
77%Perform clerical and administrative duties such as keeping records, paying bills, and hiring and supervising personnel.
61%Clean work stations and sweep floors.
57%Identify hair problems, using microscopes and testing devices, or by sending clients' hair samples out to independent laboratories for analysis.

Wage Comparison

Barbers earns +$3,710(+11%) vs Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists
Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and CosmetologistsBarbers
10th
$24,580$27,770
25th
$29,060$32,050
Median
$35,250$38,960
75th
$48,300$59,180
90th
$70,220$78,440

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists2028–2035
Barbers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Barbers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists

$27,675

from $35,250

Barbers

$31,242

from $38,960

After adjusting for AI risk, Barbers offers $3,567 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Hairdressers,

0

Unique to Barbers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and CosmetologistsBarbers
Find transitions from Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and CosmetologistsFind transitions from Barbers