Takeover Tracker
vs

52 shared · 18 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricHairdressers, Hairstylists, and CosmetologistsMerchandise Displayers and Window Trimmers
Risk Score21.5%19.5%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile10th5th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 156 / 15
Median Salary$35,250$37,350
Employment295K192K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Handling and Moving Objects
Assisting and Caring for Others
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Documenting/Recording Information
Selling or Influencing Others
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Customer and Personal Service
Far Vision
Stamina
Training and Teaching Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists

33%

total discount

Merchandise Displayers and Window Trimmers

31%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists

5 of 15 at risk
86%Operate cash registers to receive payments from patrons.
84%Order, display, and maintain supplies.
65%Schedule client appointments.
61%Update and maintain customer information records, such as beauty services provided.
53%Analyze patrons' hair and other physical features to determine and recommend beauty treatment or suggest hair styles.

Merchandise Displayers and Window Trimmers

6 of 15 at risk
88%Use computers to produce signage.
84%Store, pack, and maintain inventory records of props, products, or display items.
55%Develop ideas or plans for merchandise displays or window decorations.
54%Prepare sketches, floor plans, or models of proposed displays.
53%Select themes, lighting, colors, or props to be used.

Wage Comparison

Merchandise Displayers and Window Trimmers earns +$2,100(+6%) vs Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists
Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and CosmetologistsMerchandise Displayers and Window Trimmers
10th
$24,580$30,050
25th
$29,060$33,580
Median
$35,250$37,350
75th
$48,300$44,750
90th
$70,220$53,800

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists20282035
Merchandise Displayers and Window Trimmers20282035
20242030203520402045

Merchandise Displayers and Window Trimmers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists

$27,675

from $35,250

Merchandise Displayers and Window Trimmers

$30,074

from $37,350

After adjusting for AI risk, Merchandise Displayers and Window Trimmers offers $2,399 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Hairdressers,

0

Unique to Merchandise

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and CosmetologistsMerchandise Displayers and Window Trimmers