Takeover Tracker
21%low risk
Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists
vs

30 shared · 26 different

core competencies

18%low risk
Shampooers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricHairdressers, Hairstylists, and CosmetologistsShampooers
Risk Score21.5%17.7%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile10th3th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 152 / 9
Median Salary$35,250$31,470
Employment295K9K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Thinking Creatively
English Language
Selling or Influencing Others
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Near Vision
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Documenting/Recording Information
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Finger Dexterity
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists

33%

total discount

Shampooers

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists

5 of 15 at risk
86%Operate cash registers to receive payments from patrons.
84%Order, display, and maintain supplies.
65%Schedule client appointments.
61%Update and maintain customer information records, such as beauty services provided.
53%Analyze patrons' hair and other physical features to determine and recommend beauty treatment or suggest hair styles.

Shampooers

2 of 9 at risk
86%Maintain treatment records.
61%Sweep hair from the salon floor.
49%Launder and fold the towels that are used for drying customers' hair.
47%Refill and stock work stations with supplies, such as shampoos and conditioners.
36%Treat scalp conditions and hair loss, using specialized lotions, shampoos, or equipment such as infrared lamps or vibrating equipment.

Wage Comparison

Shampooers earns -$3,780(-11%) vs Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists
Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and CosmetologistsShampooers
10th
$24,580$22,880
25th
$29,060$27,390
Median
$35,250$31,470
75th
$48,300$35,610
90th
$70,220$35,970

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists2028–2035
Shampooers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Shampooers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists

$27,675

from $35,250

Shampooers

$25,912

from $31,470

After adjusting for AI risk, Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists offers $1,762 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Hairdressers,

0

Unique to Shampooers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and CosmetologistsShampooers
Find transitions from Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and CosmetologistsFind transitions from Shampooers