Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricHeating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and InstallersElectric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers
Risk Score17.0%19.9%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile2th7th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$59,810$53,990
Employment397K17K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Building and Construction
Customer and Personal Service
Physics
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Analyzing Data or Information
Design
Production and Processing
Installation
Selling or Influencing Others
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Computers and Electronics

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers

32%

total discount

Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers

30%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers

4 of 15 at risk
88%Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.
82%Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.
70%Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.
50%Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.
45%Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers

3 of 15 at risk
86%Record repairs required, parts used, and labor time.
84%Set machinery for proper performance, using computers.
71%Read service guides to find information needed to perform repairs.
49%Test equipment for overheating, using speed gauges and thermometers.
49%Measure velocity, horsepower, revolutions per minute (rpm), amperage, circuitry, and voltage of units or parts to diagnose problems, using ammeters, voltmeters, wattmeters, and other testing devices.

Wage Comparison

Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers earns -$5,820(-10%) vs Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers
Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and InstallersElectric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers
10th
$39,130$36,310
25th
$47,850$44,480
Median
$59,810$53,990
75th
$74,820$66,180
90th
$91,020$79,230

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers20282035
Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers20282035
20242030203520402045

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers

$49,624

from $59,810

Electric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers

$43,241

from $53,990

After adjusting for AI risk, Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers offers $6,384 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Heating

0

Unique to Electric

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and InstallersElectric Motor, Power Tool, and Related Repairers