Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricHeating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and InstallersElectronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles
Risk Score17.0%21.6%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile2th10th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 154 / 12
Median Salary$59,810$47,940
Employment397K10K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Building and Construction
Physics
Controlling Machines and Processes
Customer and Personal Service
Computers and Electronics
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Interacting With Computers
Scheduling Work and Activities
Developing Objectives and Strategies
Repairing and Maintaining Electronic Equipment
Design

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers

32%

total discount

Electronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles

31%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers

4 of 15 at risk
88%Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.
82%Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.
70%Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.
50%Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.
45%Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

Electronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles

4 of 12 at risk
87%Estimate costs of repairs based on parts and labor charges.
86%Record results of diagnostic tests.
53%Replace and clean electrical or electronic components.
51%Inspect and test electrical or electronic systems to locate and diagnose malfunctions, using visual inspections and testing instruments, such as oscilloscopes and voltmeters.
47%Diagnose or repair problems with electronic equipment, such as sound, navigation, communication, and security equipment, in motor vehicles.

Wage Comparison

Electronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles earns -$11,870(-20%) vs Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers
Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and InstallersElectronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles
10th
$39,130$31,680
25th
$47,850$39,970
Median
$59,810$47,940
75th
$74,820$58,900
90th
$91,020$70,480

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers20282035
Electronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles20282035
20242030203520402045

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Electronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers

$49,624

from $59,810

Electronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles

$37,609

from $47,940

After adjusting for AI risk, Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers offers $12,015 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Heating

0

Unique to Electronic

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Social Intelligence
Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and InstallersElectronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles