Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricHeating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and InstallersFarm Equipment Mechanics and Service Technicians
Risk Score17.0%16.3%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile2th2th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 153 / 14
Median Salary$59,810$52,080
Employment397K37K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Building and Construction
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Installation
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Analyzing Data or Information
Repairing and Maintaining Electronic Equipment
Coaching and Developing Others
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Customer and Personal Service
Training and Teaching Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers

32%

total discount

Farm Equipment Mechanics and Service Technicians

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers

4 of 15 at risk
88%Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.
82%Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.
70%Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.
50%Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.
45%Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

Farm Equipment Mechanics and Service Technicians

3 of 14 at risk
86%Record details of repairs made and parts used.
67%Calculate bills according to record of repairs made, labor time, and parts used.
51%Examine and listen to equipment, read inspection reports, and confer with customers to locate and diagnose malfunctions.
47%Clean and lubricate parts.
17%Drive trucks to haul tools and equipment for on-site repair of large machinery.

Wage Comparison

Farm Equipment Mechanics and Service Technicians earns -$7,730(-13%) vs Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers
Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and InstallersFarm Equipment Mechanics and Service Technicians
10th
$39,130$36,920
25th
$47,850$45,660
Median
$59,810$52,080
75th
$74,820$63,070
90th
$91,020$76,860

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers20282035
Farm Equipment Mechanics and Service Technicians20282035
20242030203520402045

Farm Equipment Mechanics and Service Technicians has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers

$49,624

from $59,810

Farm Equipment Mechanics and Service Technicians

$43,570

from $52,080

After adjusting for AI risk, Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers offers $6,054 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Heating

0

Unique to Farm

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and InstallersFarm Equipment Mechanics and Service Technicians