Takeover Tracker
17%low risk
Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers
vs

76 shared · 22 different

core competencies

24%low risk
Locksmiths and Safe Repairers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricHeating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and InstallersLocksmiths and Safe Repairers
Risk Score17.0%24.2%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile2th17th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 154 / 14
Median Salary$59,810$50,490
Employment397K16K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Public Safety and Security
Building and Construction
Repairing and Maintaining Electronic Equipment
Installation
Physics
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Analyzing Data or Information
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Developing Objectives and Strategies
Troubleshooting
Design
Performing General Physical Activities

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers

32%

total discount

Locksmiths and Safe Repairers

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers

4 of 15 at risk
88%Record and report time, materials, faults, deficiencies, or other unusual occurrences on work orders.
82%Adjust system controls to settings recommended by manufacturer to balance system.
70%Comply with all applicable standards, policies, or procedures, such as safety procedures or the maintenance of a clean work area.
50%Study blueprints, design specifications, or manufacturers' recommendations to ascertain the configuration of heating or cooling equipment components and to ensure the proper installation of components.
45%Inspect and test systems to verify system compliance with plans and specifications or to detect and locate malfunctions.

Locksmiths and Safe Repairers

4 of 14 at risk
87%Keep records of company locks and keys.
67%Cut new or duplicate keys, using key cutting machines.
65%Cut new or duplicate keys, using impressions or code key machines.
59%Set up and maintain master key systems.
45%Remove interior and exterior finishes on safes and vaults, and spray on new finishes.

Wage Comparison

Locksmiths and Safe Repairers earns -$9,320(-16%) vs Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers
Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and InstallersLocksmiths and Safe Repairers
10th
$39,130$34,750
25th
$47,850$40,650
Median
$59,810$50,490
75th
$74,820$64,330
90th
$91,020$79,340

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers2028–2035
Locksmiths and Safe Repairers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Locksmiths and Safe Repairers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers

$49,624

from $59,810

Locksmiths and Safe Repairers

$38,276

from $50,490

After adjusting for AI risk, Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and Installers offers $11,348 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Heating

0

Unique to Locksmiths

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and InstallersLocksmiths and Safe Repairers
Find transitions from Heating and Air Conditioning Mechanics and InstallersFind transitions from Locksmiths and Safe Repairers