Takeover Tracker
vs

57 shared · 10 different

core competencies

22%low risk
Pipelayers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricHelpers--CarpentersPipelayers
Risk Score23.8%21.6%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile16th10th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 153 / 14
Median Salary$41,600$48,710
Employment25K34K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

English Language
Transportation
Production and Processing
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Controlling Machines and Processes
Operation and Control
Building and Construction
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Helpers--Carpenters

29%

total discount

Pipelayers

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Helpers--Carpenters

5 of 15 at risk
63%Hold plumb bobs, sighting rods, or other equipment to aid in establishing reference points and lines.
57%Cut timbers, lumber, or paneling to specified dimensions.
57%Smooth or sand surfaces to remove ridges, tool marks, glue, or caulking.
53%Glue and clamp edges or joints of assembled parts.
51%Perform tie spacing layout and measure, mark, drill or cut.

Pipelayers

3 of 14 at risk
84%Lay out pipe routes, following written instructions or blueprints and coordinating layouts with supervisors.
74%Check slopes for conformance to requirements, using levels or lasers.
74%Locate existing pipes needing repair or replacement, using magnetic or radio indicators.
49%Cover pipes with earth or other materials.
49%Dig trenches to desired or required depths, by hand or using trenching tools.

Wage Comparison

Pipelayers earns +$7,110(+17%) vs Helpers--Carpenters
Helpers--CarpentersPipelayers
10th
$31,540$36,840
25th
$35,870$42,320
Median
$41,600$48,710
75th
$46,780$60,980
90th
$52,380$80,710

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Helpers--Carpenters20282035
Pipelayers20282035
20242030203520402045

Pipelayers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Helpers--Carpenters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Helpers--Carpenters

$31,687

from $41,600

Pipelayers

$38,189

from $48,710

After adjusting for AI risk, Pipelayers offers $6,502 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Helpers--Carpenters

0

Unique to Pipelayers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Helpers--CarpentersPipelayers