Side-by-Side Comparison
Plumbers leads 5–0| Metric | Helpers--Carpenters | Plumbers |
|---|---|---|
| Risk Score | 23.8% | 18.7% |
| Risk Tier | Low Risk | Low Risk |
| Risk Percentile | 16th | 5th |
| Tasks at Risk (>50%) | 5 / 15 | 2 / 15 |
| Median Salary | $41,600 | $62,970 |
| Employment | 25K | 456K |
Skill Comparison
|
Sorted by largest difference
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Production and Processing
Transportation
Scheduling Work and Activities
Performing General Physical Activities
Administration and Management
Controlling Machines and Processes
Inductive Reasoning
Repairing
English Language
Critical ThinkingAI-Augmented
Design
Protective Factors
Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement
Helpers--Carpenters
29%
total discount
Plumbers
29%
total discount
Task Risk Comparison
Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable
Helpers--Carpenters
5 of 15 at risk63%Hold plumb bobs, sighting rods, or other equipment to aid in establishing reference points and lines.
57%Cut timbers, lumber, or paneling to specified dimensions.
57%Smooth or sand surfaces to remove ridges, tool marks, glue, or caulking.
53%Glue and clamp edges or joints of assembled parts.
51%Perform tie spacing layout and measure, mark, drill or cut.
Plumbers
2 of 15 at risk87%Keep records of work assignments.
54%Estimate time, material, or labor costs for use in project plans.
48%Review blueprints, building codes, or specifications to determine work details or procedures.
45%Inspect structures to assess material or equipment needs, to establish the sequence of pipe installations, or to plan installation around obstructions, such as electrical wiring.
38%Maintain or repair plumbing by replacing defective washers, replacing or mending broken pipes, or opening clogged drains.
Wage Comparison
Plumbers earns +$21,370(+51%) vs Helpers--Carpenters
Helpers--CarpentersPlumbers
10th
$31,540$40,670
25th
$35,870$48,860
Median
$41,600$62,970
75th
$46,780$81,900
90th
$52,380$105,150
Premium Head-to-Head Analysis
Displacement Timeline Comparison
Helpers--Carpenters2028–2035
Plumbers2028–2035
20242030203520402045
Plumbers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Helpers--Carpenters.
Risk-Adjusted Salary
Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)
Helpers--Carpenters
$31,687
from $41,600
Plumbers
$51,195
from $62,970
After adjusting for AI risk, Plumbers offers $19,508 more in risk-adjusted pay.
Transition Feasibility
1%
Skill Overlap
Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition
0
Unique to Helpers--Carpenters
0
Unique to Plumbers
Combined Protection Strategy
Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Helpers--CarpentersPlumbers