Takeover Tracker
vs

61 shared · 10 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricHelpers--CarpentersSheet Metal Workers
Risk Score23.8%24.2%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile16th17th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 157 / 15
Median Salary$41,600$60,850
Employment25K117K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Building and Construction
Public Safety and Security
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
English Language
Customer and Personal Service
Training and Teaching Others
Handling and Moving Objects
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Perceptual Speed

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Helpers--Carpenters

29%

total discount

Sheet Metal Workers

27%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Helpers--Carpenters

5 of 15 at risk
63%Hold plumb bobs, sighting rods, or other equipment to aid in establishing reference points and lines.
57%Cut timbers, lumber, or paneling to specified dimensions.
57%Smooth or sand surfaces to remove ridges, tool marks, glue, or caulking.
53%Glue and clamp edges or joints of assembled parts.
51%Perform tie spacing layout and measure, mark, drill or cut.

Sheet Metal Workers

7 of 15 at risk
86%Develop or lay out patterns, using computerized metalworking equipment.
86%Verify that heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems are designed, installed, and calibrated in accordance with green certification standards, such as those of Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED).
85%Select gauges or types of sheet metal or nonmetallic material, according to product specifications.
84%Convert blueprints into shop drawings to be followed in the construction or assembly of sheet metal products.
63%Inspect individual parts, assemblies, or installations, using measuring instruments, such as calipers, scales, or micrometers.

Wage Comparison

Sheet Metal Workers earns +$19,250(+46%) vs Helpers--Carpenters
Helpers--CarpentersSheet Metal Workers
10th
$31,540$38,030
25th
$35,870$47,290
Median
$41,600$60,850
75th
$46,780$79,620
90th
$52,380$102,680

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Helpers--Carpenters20282035
Sheet Metal Workers20282035
20242030203520402045

Helpers--Carpenters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Sheet Metal Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Helpers--Carpenters

$31,687

from $41,600

Sheet Metal Workers

$46,112

from $60,850

After adjusting for AI risk, Sheet Metal Workers offers $14,425 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Helpers--Carpenters

0

Unique to Sheet

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Social Intelligence
Helpers--CarpentersSheet Metal Workers