Takeover Tracker
vs

47 shared · 18 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricHelpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and SteamfittersHelpers--Carpenters
Risk Score17.2%23.8%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile2th16th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)1 / 155 / 15
Median Salary$39,270$41,600
Employment44K25K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Thinking Creatively
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Performing General Physical Activities
Public Safety and Security
Developing Objectives and Strategies
English Language
Production and Processing
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Assisting and Caring for Others
Transportation
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters

27%

total discount

Helpers--Carpenters

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters

1 of 15 at risk
69%Requisition tools and equipment, select type and size of pipe, and collect and transport materials and equipment to work site.
47%Immerse pipe in chemical solution to remove dirt, oil, and scale.
41%Cut pipe and lift up to fitters.
41%Fill pipes with sand or resin to prevent distortion, and hold pipes during bending and installation.
41%Clean shop, work area, and machines, using solvent and rags.

Helpers--Carpenters

5 of 15 at risk
63%Hold plumb bobs, sighting rods, or other equipment to aid in establishing reference points and lines.
57%Cut timbers, lumber, or paneling to specified dimensions.
57%Smooth or sand surfaces to remove ridges, tool marks, glue, or caulking.
53%Glue and clamp edges or joints of assembled parts.
51%Perform tie spacing layout and measure, mark, drill or cut.

Wage Comparison

Helpers--Carpenters earns +$2,330(+6%) vs Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters
Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and SteamfittersHelpers--Carpenters
10th
$31,050$31,540
25th
$35,750$35,870
Median
$39,270$41,600
75th
$46,550$46,780
90th
$54,860$52,380

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters20282035
Helpers--Carpenters20282035
20242030203520402045

Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Helpers--Carpenters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters

$32,519

from $39,270

Helpers--Carpenters

$31,687

from $41,600

After adjusting for AI risk, Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters offers $833 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Helpers--Pipelayers,

0

Unique to Helpers--Carpenters

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Social Intelligence
Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and SteamfittersHelpers--Carpenters