Takeover Tracker
vs

50 shared · 19 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricHelpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and SteamfittersPainters, Construction and Maintenance
Risk Score17.2%21.9%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile2th11th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)1 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$39,270$48,660
Employment44K224K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Public Safety and Security
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Building and Construction
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Thinking Creatively
Mechanical
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Handling and Moving Objects
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Controlling Machines and Processes
Coaching and Developing Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters

27%

total discount

Painters, Construction and Maintenance

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters

1 of 15 at risk
69%Requisition tools and equipment, select type and size of pipe, and collect and transport materials and equipment to work site.
47%Immerse pipe in chemical solution to remove dirt, oil, and scale.
41%Cut pipe and lift up to fitters.
41%Fill pipes with sand or resin to prevent distortion, and hold pipes during bending and installation.
41%Clean shop, work area, and machines, using solvent and rags.

Painters, Construction and Maintenance

3 of 15 at risk
86%Read work orders or receive instructions from supervisors or homeowners to determine work requirements.
74%Calculate amounts of required materials and estimate costs, based on surface measurements or work orders.
51%Mix and match colors of paint, stain, or varnish with oil or thinning and drying additives to obtain desired colors and consistencies.
49%Smooth surfaces, using sandpaper, scrapers, brushes, steel wool, or sanding machines.
49%Wash and treat surfaces with oil, turpentine, mildew remover, or other preparations, and sand rough spots to ensure that finishes will adhere properly.

Wage Comparison

Painters, Construction and Maintenance earns +$9,390(+24%) vs Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters
Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and SteamfittersPainters, Construction and Maintenance
10th
$31,050$36,680
25th
$35,750$42,510
Median
$39,270$48,660
75th
$46,550$60,270
90th
$54,860$76,550

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters20282035
Painters, Construction and Maintenance20282035
20242030203520402045

Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Painters, Construction and Maintenance.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters

$32,519

from $39,270

Painters, Construction and Maintenance

$38,028

from $48,660

After adjusting for AI risk, Painters, Construction and Maintenance offers $5,508 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Helpers--Pipelayers,

0

Unique to Painters,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Helpers--Pipelayers, Plumbers, Pipefitters, and SteamfittersPainters, Construction and Maintenance