Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricHoist and Winch OperatorsExtruding and Forming Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Synthetic and Glass Fibers
Risk Score33.6%39.4%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile60th79th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)2 / 138 / 15
Median Salary$52,310$44,980
Employment2K15K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Performing General Physical Activities
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Depth Perception
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Production and Processing
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others
Training and Teaching Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Hoist and Winch Operators

28%

total discount

Extruding and Forming Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Synthetic and Glass Fibers

27%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Hoist and Winch Operators

2 of 13 at risk
84%Select loads or materials according to weight and size specifications.
80%Observe equipment gauges and indicators and hand signals of other workers to verify load positions or depths.
47%Oil winch drums so that cables will wind smoothly.
43%Move levers, pedals, and throttles to stop, start, and regulate speeds of hoist or winch drums in response to hand, bell, buzzer, telephone, loud-speaker, or whistle signals, or by observing dial indicators or cable marks.
43%Apply hand or foot brakes and move levers to lock hoists or winches.

Extruding and Forming Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Synthetic and Glass Fibers

8 of 15 at risk
86%Record details of machine malfunctions.
86%Observe machine operations, control boards, and gauges to detect malfunctions such as clogged bushings and defective binder applicators.
63%Press buttons to stop machines when processes are complete or when malfunctions are detected.
57%Start metering pumps and observe operation of machines and equipment to ensure continuous flow of filaments extruded through spinnerettes and to detect processing defects.
53%Turn rheostats to obtain specified temperatures in electric furnaces where glass is melted.

Wage Comparison

Extruding and Forming Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Synthetic and Glass Fibers earns -$7,330(-14%) vs Hoist and Winch Operators
Hoist and Winch OperatorsExtruding and Forming Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Synthetic and Glass Fibers
10th
$33,910$35,590
25th
$39,220$38,990
Median
$52,310$44,980
75th
$90,200$54,690
90th
$116,120$63,650

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Hoist and Winch Operators20282035
Extruding and Forming Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Synthetic and Glass Fibers20282035
20242030203520402045

Hoist and Winch Operators has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Extruding and Forming Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Synthetic and Glass Fibers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Hoist and Winch Operators

$34,708

from $52,310

Extruding and Forming Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Synthetic and Glass Fibers

$27,280

from $44,980

After adjusting for AI risk, Hoist and Winch Operators offers $7,427 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Hoist

0

Unique to Extruding

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Hoist and Winch OperatorsExtruding and Forming Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Synthetic and Glass Fibers