Takeover Tracker
34%medium risk
Hoist and Winch Operators
vs

62 shared · 13 different

core competencies

46%medium risk
Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricHoist and Winch OperatorsIndustrial Truck and Tractor Operators
Risk Score33.6%45.6%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile60th92th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)2 / 138 / 11
Median Salary$52,310$46,390
Employment2K806K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Mechanical
Controlling Machines and Processes
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Scheduling Work and Activities
Performing General Physical Activities
English Language
Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Hoist and Winch Operators

28%

total discount

Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Hoist and Winch Operators

2 of 13 at risk
84%Select loads or materials according to weight and size specifications.
80%Observe equipment gauges and indicators and hand signals of other workers to verify load positions or depths.
47%Oil winch drums so that cables will wind smoothly.
43%Move levers, pedals, and throttles to stop, start, and regulate speeds of hoist or winch drums in response to hand, bell, buzzer, telephone, loud-speaker, or whistle signals, or by observing dial indicators or cable marks.
43%Apply hand or foot brakes and move levers to lock hoists or winches.

Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators

8 of 11 at risk
87%Weigh materials or products and record weight or other production data on tags or labels.
63%Manually or mechanically load or unload materials from pallets, skids, platforms, cars, lifting devices, or other transport vehicles.
63%Move controls to drive gasoline- or electric-powered trucks, cars, or tractors and transport materials between loading, processing, and storage areas.
61%Move levers or controls that operate lifting devices, such as forklifts, lift beams with swivel-hooks, hoists, or elevating platforms, to load, unload, transport, or stack material.
61%Inspect product load for accuracy and safely move it around the warehouse or facility to ensure timely and complete delivery.

Wage Comparison

Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators earns -$5,920(-11%) vs Hoist and Winch Operators
Hoist and Winch OperatorsIndustrial Truck and Tractor Operators
10th
$33,910$36,500
25th
$39,220$39,780
Median
$52,310$46,390
75th
$90,200$53,680
90th
$116,120$61,540

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Hoist and Winch Operators2028–2035
Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Hoist and Winch Operators has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Hoist and Winch Operators

$34,708

from $52,310

Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators

$25,218

from $46,390

After adjusting for AI risk, Hoist and Winch Operators offers $9,490 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Hoist

0

Unique to Industrial

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Hoist and Winch OperatorsIndustrial Truck and Tractor Operators
Find transitions from Hoist and Winch OperatorsFind transitions from Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators