Takeover Tracker
34%medium risk
Hoist and Winch Operators
vs

51 shared · 15 different

core competencies

20%low risk
Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricHoist and Winch OperatorsRefractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons
Risk Score33.6%20.1%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile60th7th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)2 / 132 / 15
Median Salary$52,310$58,540
Employment2K1K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Controlling Machines and Processes
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Performing General Physical Activities
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates
Developing Objectives and Strategies
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Getting Information
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Hoist and Winch Operators

28%

total discount

Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Hoist and Winch Operators

2 of 13 at risk
84%Select loads or materials according to weight and size specifications.
80%Observe equipment gauges and indicators and hand signals of other workers to verify load positions or depths.
47%Oil winch drums so that cables will wind smoothly.
43%Move levers, pedals, and throttles to stop, start, and regulate speeds of hoist or winch drums in response to hand, bell, buzzer, telephone, loud-speaker, or whistle signals, or by observing dial indicators or cable marks.
43%Apply hand or foot brakes and move levers to lock hoists or winches.

Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons

2 of 15 at risk
53%Transfer clay structures to curing ovens, melting tanks, and drawing kilns, using forklifts.
51%Mix specified amounts of sand, clay, mortar powder, and water to form refractory clay or mortar, using shovels or mixing machines.
49%Fasten stopper heads to rods with metal pins to assemble refractory stoppers used to plug pouring nozzles of steel ladles.
49%Dump and tamp clay in molds, using tamping tools.
47%Measure furnace walls to determine dimensions and cut required number of sheets from plastic block, using saws.

Wage Comparison

Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons earns +$6,230(+12%) vs Hoist and Winch Operators
Hoist and Winch OperatorsRefractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons
10th
$33,910$37,050
25th
$39,220$48,380
Median
$52,310$58,540
75th
$90,200$73,940
90th
$116,120$81,440

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Hoist and Winch Operators2028–2035
Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Hoist and Winch Operators.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Hoist and Winch Operators

$34,708

from $52,310

Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons

$46,768

from $58,540

After adjusting for AI risk, Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons offers $12,060 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Hoist

0

Unique to Refractory

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Hoist and Winch OperatorsRefractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons
Find transitions from Hoist and Winch OperatorsFind transitions from Refractory Materials Repairers, Except Brickmasons