Takeover Tracker
27%medium risk
Immigration and Customs Inspectors
vs

47 shared · 24 different

core competencies

33%medium risk
Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricImmigration and Customs InspectorsProbation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists
Risk Score27.5%33.2%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile27th58th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 115 / 15
Median Salary$93,580$64,520
Employment111K87K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Analyzing Data or Information
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Processing Information
Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information
Geography
Interacting With Computers
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Performing General Physical Activities
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Psychology
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Immigration and Customs Inspectors

34%

total discount

Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists

33%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Immigration and Customs Inspectors

3 of 11 at risk
86%Record and report job-related activities, findings, transactions, violations, discrepancies, and decisions.
85%Determine duty and taxes to be paid on goods.
53%Inspect cargo, baggage, and personal articles entering or leaving U.S. for compliance with revenue laws and U.S. customs regulations.
49%Collect samples of merchandise for examination, appraisal, or testing.
49%Investigate applications for duty refunds and petition for remission or mitigation of penalties when warranted.

Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists

5 of 15 at risk
85%Write reports describing offenders' progress.
84%Prepare and maintain case folder for each assigned inmate or offender.
82%Inform offenders or inmates of requirements of conditional release, such as office visits, restitution payments, or educational and employment stipulations.
80%Arrange for medical, mental health, or substance abuse treatment services according to individual needs or court orders.
80%Arrange for postrelease services, such as employment, housing, counseling, education, and social activities.

Wage Comparison

Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists earns -$29,060(-31%) vs Immigration and Customs Inspectors
Immigration and Customs InspectorsProbation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists
10th
$54,160$45,390
25th
$68,390$52,580
Median
$93,580$64,520
75th
$120,080$84,030
90th
$159,410$106,290

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Immigration and Customs Inspectors2028–2035
Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Immigration and Customs Inspectors has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Immigration and Customs Inspectors

$67,864

from $93,580

Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists

$43,074

from $64,520

After adjusting for AI risk, Immigration and Customs Inspectors offers $24,791 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Immigration

0

Unique to Probation

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Immigration and Customs InspectorsProbation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists
Find transitions from Immigration and Customs InspectorsFind transitions from Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists