Takeover Tracker
27%medium risk
Immigration and Customs Inspectors
vs

32 shared · 40 different

core competencies

38%medium risk
Security Guards

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricImmigration and Customs InspectorsSecurity Guards
Risk Score27.5%38.3%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile27th76th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 116 / 14
Median Salary$93,580$38,370
Employment111K1.2M

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Interacting With Computers
Law and Government
Analyzing Data or Information
Performing Administrative Activities
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Getting Information
Written Comprehension
Computers and Electronics
Speaking
Written Expression

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Immigration and Customs Inspectors

34%

total discount

Security Guards

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Immigration and Customs Inspectors

3 of 11 at risk
86%Record and report job-related activities, findings, transactions, violations, discrepancies, and decisions.
85%Determine duty and taxes to be paid on goods.
53%Inspect cargo, baggage, and personal articles entering or leaving U.S. for compliance with revenue laws and U.S. customs regulations.
49%Collect samples of merchandise for examination, appraisal, or testing.
49%Investigate applications for duty refunds and petition for remission or mitigation of penalties when warranted.

Security Guards

6 of 14 at risk
86%Monitor and authorize entrance and departure of employees, visitors, and other persons to guard against theft and maintain security of premises.
86%Write reports of daily activities and irregularities, such as equipment or property damage, theft, presence of unauthorized persons, or unusual occurrences.
86%Monitor and adjust controls that regulate building systems, such as air conditioning, furnace, or boiler.
85%Call police or fire departments in cases of emergency, such as fire or presence of unauthorized persons.
61%Answer telephone calls to take messages, answer questions, and provide information during non-business hours or when switchboard is closed.

Wage Comparison

Security Guards earns -$55,210(-59%) vs Immigration and Customs Inspectors
Immigration and Customs InspectorsSecurity Guards
10th
$54,160$29,800
25th
$68,390$35,100
Median
$93,580$38,370
75th
$120,080$46,660
90th
$159,410$59,580

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Immigration and Customs Inspectors2028–2035
Security Guards2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Immigration and Customs Inspectors has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Security Guards.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Immigration and Customs Inspectors

$67,864

from $93,580

Security Guards

$23,693

from $38,370

After adjusting for AI risk, Immigration and Customs Inspectors offers $44,171 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Immigration

0

Unique to Security

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Immigration and Customs InspectorsSecurity Guards
Find transitions from Immigration and Customs InspectorsFind transitions from Security Guards