Takeover Tracker
vs

26 shared · 5 different

core competencies

33%medium risk
Nursery Workers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricJanitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping CleanersNursery Workers
Risk Score38.0%33.4%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile75th59th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$35,930$35,690
Employment2.2M262K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Static Strength
Dynamic Strength
Stamina
Flexibility of Closure
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners

21%

total discount

Nursery Workers

22%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners

8 of 15 at risk
87%Requisition supplies or equipment needed for cleaning and maintenance duties.
86%Follow procedures for the use of chemical cleaners and power equipment to prevent damage to floors and fixtures.
84%Notify managers concerning the need for major repairs or additions to building operating systems.
77%Monitor building security and safety by performing tasks such as locking doors after operating hours or checking electrical appliance use to ensure that hazards are not created.
67%Clean building floors by sweeping, mopping, scrubbing, or vacuuming.

Nursery Workers

8 of 15 at risk
86%Regulate greenhouse conditions, and indoor and outdoor irrigation systems.
86%Maintain inventory, ordering materials as required.
84%Record information about plants and plant growth.
61%Fill growing tanks with water.
57%Cut, roll, and stack sod.

Wage Comparison

Nursery Workers earns -$240(-1%) vs Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners
Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping CleanersNursery Workers
10th
$27,570$32,260
25th
$30,830$34,280
Median
$35,930$35,690
75th
$41,650$38,950
90th
$49,040$46,370

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners20282035
Nursery Workers20282035
20242030203520402045

Nursery Workers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners

$22,284

from $35,930

Nursery Workers

$23,766

from $35,690

After adjusting for AI risk, Nursery Workers offers $1,482 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Janitors

0

Unique to Nursery

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping CleanersNursery Workers