Takeover Tracker
26%medium risk
Jewelers
vs

31 shared · 24 different

core competencies

37%medium risk
Bakers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricJewelersBakers
Risk Score25.7%36.6%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile21th71th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$49,140$36,650
Employment23K232K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Arm-Hand Steadiness
Finger Dexterity
Thinking Creatively
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Near Vision
Control Precision
Design
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Manual DexterityAI-Resistant
Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Handling and Moving Objects

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Jewelers

30%

total discount

Bakers

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Jewelers

4 of 15 at risk
78%Examine assembled or finished products to ensure conformance to specifications, using magnifying glasses or precision measuring instruments.
64%Compute costs of labor and materials in order to determine production costs of products and articles.
51%Select and acquire metals and gems for designs.
51%Pour molten metal alloys or other materials into molds in order to cast models of jewelry.
49%Weigh, mix, and melt metal alloys or materials needed for jewelry models.

Bakers

8 of 15 at risk
85%Direct or coordinate bakery deliveries.
73%Adapt the quantity of ingredients to match the amount of items to be baked.
65%Set time and speed controls for mixing machines, blending machines, or steam kettles so that ingredients will be mixed or cooked according to instructions.
63%Operate slicing or wrapping machines.
61%Check products for quality and identify damaged or expired goods.

Wage Comparison

Bakers earns -$12,490(-25%) vs Jewelers
JewelersBakers
10th
$33,890$27,560
25th
$38,030$31,470
Median
$49,140$36,650
75th
$63,210$42,570
90th
$81,610$48,260

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Jewelers20282035
Bakers20282035
20242030203520402045

Jewelers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Bakers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Jewelers

$36,511

from $49,140

Bakers

$23,225

from $36,650

After adjusting for AI risk, Jewelers offers $13,286 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Jewelers

0

Unique to Bakers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
JewelersBakers