Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricLathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and PlasticPaper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders
Risk Score39.5%37.5%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile79th74th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)6 / 157 / 15
Median Salary$48,620$49,390
Employment19K97K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Developing and Building Teams
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Handling and Moving Objects
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Interacting With Computers
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Customer and Personal Service

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

25%

total discount

Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

6 of 15 at risk
88%Compute unspecified dimensions and machine settings, using knowledge of metal properties and shop mathematics.
86%Study blueprints, layouts or charts, and job orders for information on specifications and tooling instructions, and to determine material requirements and operational sequences.
86%Select cutting tools and tooling instructions, according to written specifications or knowledge of metal properties and shop mathematics.
85%Program computer numerical control machines.
74%Inspect sample workpieces to verify conformance with specifications, using instruments such as gauges, micrometers, and dial indicators.

Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders

7 of 15 at risk
61%Stamp products with information such as dates, using hand stamps or automatic stamping devices.
61%Remove finished cores, and stack or place them on conveyors for transfer to other work areas.
59%Start machines and move controls to regulate tension on pressure rolls, to synchronize speed of machine components, and to adjust temperatures of glue or paraffin.
57%Examine completed work to detect defects and verify conformance to work orders, and adjust machinery as necessary to correct production problems.
57%Observe operation of various machines to detect and correct machine malfunctions such as improper forming, glue flow, or pasteboard tension.

Wage Comparison

Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders earns +$770(+2%) vs Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and PlasticPaper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders
10th
$36,200$36,610
25th
$41,180$43,520
Median
$48,620$49,390
75th
$58,100$59,220
90th
$65,450$68,640

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic20282035
Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders20282035
20242030203520402045

Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

$29,391

from $48,620

Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders

$30,844

from $49,390

After adjusting for AI risk, Paper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders offers $1,453 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Lathe

0

Unique to Paper

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and PlasticPaper Goods Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders