Takeover Tracker
44%medium risk
Locomotive Engineers
vs

60 shared · 19 different

core competencies

52%high risk
Subway and Streetcar Operators

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricLocomotive EngineersSubway and Streetcar Operators
Risk Score44.1%52.4%
Risk TierMedium RiskHigh Risk
Risk Percentile90th98th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)13 / 1510 / 12
Median Salary$77,400$84,830
Employment32K9K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Controlling Machines and Processes
Customer and Personal Service
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Handling and Moving Objects
Analyzing Data or Information
Far Vision
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Processing Information
Documenting/Recording Information
Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information
Sound Localization

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Locomotive Engineers

28%

total discount

Subway and Streetcar Operators

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Locomotive Engineers

13 of 15 at risk
87%Prepare reports regarding any problems encountered, such as accidents, signaling problems, unscheduled stops, or delays.
86%Monitor gauges or meters that measure speed, amperage, battery charge, or air pressure in brakelines or in main reservoirs.
85%Check to ensure that brake examination tests are conducted at shunting stations.
85%Check to ensure that documentation, such as procedure manuals or logbooks, are in the driver's cab and available for staff use.
77%Interpret train orders, signals, or railroad rules and regulations that govern the operation of locomotives.

Subway and Streetcar Operators

10 of 12 at risk
89%Make announcements to passengers, such as notifications of upcoming stops or schedule delays.
89%Collect fares from passengers, and issue change and transfers.
89%Record transactions and coin receptor readings to verify the amount of money collected.
87%Regulate vehicle speed and the time spent at each stop to maintain schedules.
87%Report delays, mechanical problems, and emergencies to supervisors or dispatchers, using radios.

Wage Comparison

Subway and Streetcar Operators earns +$7,430(+10%) vs Locomotive Engineers
Locomotive EngineersSubway and Streetcar Operators
10th
$60,980$52,260
25th
$73,410$59,500
Median
$77,400$84,830
75th
$84,230$87,940
90th
$100,690$87,940

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Locomotive Engineers2028–2035
Subway and Streetcar Operators2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Locomotive Engineers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Subway and Streetcar Operators.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Locomotive Engineers

$43,282

from $77,400

Subway and Streetcar Operators

$40,421

from $84,830

After adjusting for AI risk, Locomotive Engineers offers $2,861 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Locomotive

0

Unique to Subway

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Locomotive EngineersSubway and Streetcar Operators
Find transitions from Locomotive EngineersFind transitions from Subway and Streetcar Operators