Takeover Tracker
46%medium risk
Log Graders and Scalers
vs

60 shared · 12 different

core competencies

38%medium risk
Pourers and Casters, Metal

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricLog Graders and ScalersPourers and Casters, Metal
Risk Score46.2%37.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile93th74th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)9 / 145 / 15
Median Salary$46,710$48,940
Employment3K6K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Controlling Machines and Processes
Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information
Mechanical
Written Expression
WritingAI-Augmented
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Reaction Time
Production and Processing
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Log Graders and Scalers

27%

total discount

Pourers and Casters, Metal

27%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Log Graders and Scalers

9 of 14 at risk
88%Weigh log trucks before and after unloading, and record load weights and supplier identities.
86%Record data about individual trees or load volumes into tally books or hand-held collection terminals.
86%Measure felled logs or loads of pulpwood to calculate volume, weight, dimensions, and marketable value, using measuring devices and conversion tables.
84%Evaluate log characteristics and determine grades, using established criteria.
84%Identify logs of substandard or special grade so that they can be returned to shippers, regraded, recut, or transferred for other processing.

Pourers and Casters, Metal

5 of 15 at risk
84%Read temperature gauges and observe color changes, adjusting furnace flames, torches, or electrical heating units as necessary to melt metal to specifications.
63%Examine molds to ensure they are clean, smooth, and properly coated.
61%Transport metal ingots to storage areas, using forklifts.
59%Stencil identifying information on ingots and pigs, using special hand tools.
51%Turn valves to circulate water through cores, or spray water on filled molds to cool and solidify metal.

Wage Comparison

Pourers and Casters, Metal earns +$2,230(+5%) vs Log Graders and Scalers
Log Graders and ScalersPourers and Casters, Metal
10th
$35,050$37,250
25th
$38,390$41,410
Median
$46,710$48,940
75th
$56,200$59,850
90th
$63,370$68,030

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Log Graders and Scalers2028–2035
Pourers and Casters, Metal2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Pourers and Casters, Metal has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Log Graders and Scalers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Log Graders and Scalers

$25,139

from $46,710

Pourers and Casters, Metal

$30,475

from $48,940

After adjusting for AI risk, Pourers and Casters, Metal offers $5,336 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Log

0

Unique to Pourers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Log Graders and ScalersPourers and Casters, Metal
Find transitions from Log Graders and ScalersFind transitions from Pourers and Casters, Metal