Takeover Tracker
37%medium risk
Machinists
vs

50 shared · 7 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMachinistsMolding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Risk Score36.8%33.3%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile71th58th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)9 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$56,150$41,230
Employment299K155K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Design
Thinking Creatively
Mechanical
Processing Information
Handling and Moving Objects
CoordinationAI-Resistant

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Machinists

26%

total discount

Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Machinists

9 of 15 at risk
86%Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.
84%Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.
70%Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments such as micrometers or vernier calipers.
63%Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.
57%Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

8 of 15 at risk
86%Observe meters and gauges to verify and record temperatures, pressures, and press-cycle times.
71%Read specifications, blueprints, and work orders to determine setups, temperatures, and time settings required to mold, form, or cast plastic materials, as well as to plan production sequences.
65%Measure and visually inspect products for surface and dimension defects to ensure conformance to specifications, using precision measuring instruments.
63%Observe continuous operation of automatic machines to ensure that products meet specifications and to detect jams or malfunctions, making adjustments as necessary.
61%Turn valves and dials of machines to regulate pressure, temperature, and speed and feed rates, and to set cycle times.

Wage Comparison

Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic earns -$14,920(-27%) vs Machinists
MachinistsMolding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
10th
$38,100$31,990
25th
$46,250$36,290
Median
$56,150$41,230
75th
$64,910$49,100
90th
$78,760$60,110

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Machinists20282035
Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic20282035
20242030203520402045

Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Machinists.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Machinists

$35,492

from $56,150

Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

$27,500

from $41,230

After adjusting for AI risk, Machinists offers $7,992 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Machinists

0

Unique to Molding,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
MachinistsMolding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic