Takeover Tracker

37%medium risk
Machinists
vs

52 shared · 5 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMachinistsPatternmakers, Metal and Plastic
Risk Score36.8%31.6%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile71th48th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)9 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$56,150$54,540
Employment299K2K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Handling and Moving Objects
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Controlling Machines and Processes

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Machinists

26%

total discount

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Machinists

9 of 15 at risk
86%Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.
84%Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.
70%Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments such as micrometers or vernier calipers.
63%Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.
57%Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

8 of 15 at risk
84%Select pattern materials such as wood, resin, and fiberglass.
73%Program computerized numerical control machine tools.
59%Mark identification numbers or symbols onto patterns or templates.
57%Paint or lacquer patterns.
55%Create computer models of patterns or parts, using modeling software.

Wage Comparison

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic earns -$1,610(-3%) vs Machinists
MachinistsPatternmakers, Metal and Plastic
10th
$38,100$39,150
25th
$46,250$47,520
Median
$56,150$54,540
75th
$64,910$66,590
90th
$78,760$79,690

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Head-to-head task automation timeline
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Career transition paths from each job
Risk-adjusted salary comparison
Combined protective factor strategy
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Machinists: Not yetPatternmakers, Metal and Plastic: Not yet