Takeover Tracker
37%medium risk
Machinists
vs

56 shared · 6 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMachinistsTool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners
Risk Score36.8%38.5%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile71th77th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)9 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$56,150$48,970
Employment299K6K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Controlling Machines and Processes
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Design
Equipment MaintenanceAI-Resistant
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Machinists

26%

total discount

Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners

27%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Machinists

9 of 15 at risk
86%Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.
84%Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.
70%Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments such as micrometers or vernier calipers.
63%Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.
57%Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners

8 of 15 at risk
84%Study blueprints or layouts of metal workpieces to determine grinding procedures, and to plan machine setups and operational sequences.
78%Compute numbers, widths, and angles of cutting tools, micrometers, scales, and gauges, and adjust tools to produce specified cuts.
76%Inspect dies to detect defects, assess wear, and verify specifications, using micrometers, steel gauge pins, and loupes.
61%Monitor machine operations to determine whether adjustments are necessary, stopping machines when problems occur.
59%Remove finished workpieces from machines and place them in boxes or on racks, setting aside pieces that are defective.

Wage Comparison

Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners earns -$7,180(-13%) vs Machinists
MachinistsTool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners
10th
$38,100$33,770
25th
$46,250$39,520
Median
$56,150$48,970
75th
$64,910$60,210
90th
$78,760$74,120

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Machinists20282035
Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners20282035
20242030203520402045

Machinists has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Machinists

$35,492

from $56,150

Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners

$30,097

from $48,970

After adjusting for AI risk, Machinists offers $5,395 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Machinists

0

Unique to Tool

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
MachinistsTool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners
Machinists vs Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners AI Risk — Takeover Tracker