Takeover Tracker
30%medium risk
Maintenance Workers, Machinery
vs

52 shared · 10 different

core competencies

37%medium risk
Machinists

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMaintenance Workers, MachineryMachinists
Risk Score29.7%36.8%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile37th71th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)10 / 159 / 15
Median Salary$60,500$56,150
Employment57K299K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Equipment MaintenanceAI-Resistant
Repairing
Repairing and Maintaining Electronic Equipment
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Performing General Physical Activities
Mechanical
Processing Information
Troubleshooting

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Maintenance Workers, Machinery

27%

total discount

Machinists

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Maintenance Workers, Machinery

10 of 15 at risk
88%Inventory and requisition machine parts, equipment, and other supplies so that stock can be maintained and replenished.
86%Read work orders and specifications to determine machines and equipment requiring repair or maintenance.
86%Record production, repair, and machine maintenance information.
61%Transport machine parts, tools, equipment, and other material between work areas and storage, using cranes, hoists, or dollies.
57%Set up and operate machines, and adjust controls to regulate operations.

Machinists

9 of 15 at risk
86%Program computers or electronic instruments, such as numerically controlled machine tools.
84%Study sample parts, blueprints, drawings, or engineering information to determine methods or sequences of operations needed to fabricate products.
70%Calculate dimensions or tolerances, using instruments such as micrometers or vernier calipers.
63%Monitor the feed and speed of machines during the machining process.
57%Measure, examine, or test completed units to check for defects and ensure conformance to specifications, using precision instruments, such as micrometers.

Wage Comparison

Machinists earns -$4,350(-7%) vs Maintenance Workers, Machinery
Maintenance Workers, MachineryMachinists
10th
$40,080$38,100
25th
$48,600$46,250
Median
$60,500$56,150
75th
$72,260$64,910
90th
$83,560$78,760

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Maintenance Workers, Machinery2028–2035
Machinists2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Maintenance Workers, Machinery has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Machinists.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Maintenance Workers, Machinery

$42,562

from $60,500

Machinists

$35,492

from $56,150

After adjusting for AI risk, Maintenance Workers, Machinery offers $7,069 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Maintenance

0

Unique to Machinists

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Maintenance Workers, MachineryMachinists
Find transitions from Maintenance Workers, MachineryFind transitions from Machinists