Takeover Tracker
21%low risk
Makeup Artists, Theatrical and Performance
vs

51 shared · 13 different

core competencies

21%low risk
Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMakeup Artists, Theatrical and PerformanceHairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists
Risk Score21.2%21.5%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile9th10th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 155 / 15
Median Salary$50,280$35,250
Employment3K295K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Performing for or Working Directly with the Public
Selling or Influencing Others
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Getting Information
Thinking Creatively
English Language
Assisting and Caring for Others
Sales and Marketing
Visual Color Discrimination
Customer and Personal Service
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Analyzing Data or Information

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Makeup Artists, Theatrical and Performance

33%

total discount

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists

33%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Makeup Artists, Theatrical and Performance

8 of 15 at risk
85%Establish budgets, and work within budgetary limits.
85%Requisition or acquire needed materials for special effects, including wigs, beards, and special cosmetics.
76%Write makeup sheets and take photos to document specific looks and the products used to achieve the looks.
61%Analyze a script, noting events that affect each character's appearance, so that plans can be made for each scene.
59%Study production information, such as character descriptions, period settings, and situations, to determine makeup requirements.

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists

5 of 15 at risk
86%Operate cash registers to receive payments from patrons.
84%Order, display, and maintain supplies.
65%Schedule client appointments.
61%Update and maintain customer information records, such as beauty services provided.
53%Analyze patrons' hair and other physical features to determine and recommend beauty treatment or suggest hair styles.

Wage Comparison

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists earns -$15,030(-30%) vs Makeup Artists, Theatrical and Performance
Makeup Artists, Theatrical and PerformanceHairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists
10th
$22,010$24,580
25th
$28,850$29,060
Median
$50,280$35,250
75th
$132,530$48,300
90th
$157,090$70,220

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Makeup Artists, Theatrical and Performance2028–2035
Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Makeup Artists, Theatrical and Performance has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Makeup Artists, Theatrical and Performance

$39,626

from $50,280

Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists

$27,675

from $35,250

After adjusting for AI risk, Makeup Artists, Theatrical and Performance offers $11,951 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Makeup

0

Unique to Hairdressers,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Makeup Artists, Theatrical and PerformanceHairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists
Find transitions from Makeup Artists, Theatrical and PerformanceFind transitions from Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists