Takeover Tracker
32%medium risk
Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge
vs

66 shared · 23 different

core competencies

44%medium risk
Locomotive Engineers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMates- Ship, Boat, and BargeLocomotive Engineers
Risk Score32.1%44.1%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile52th90th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 1213 / 15
Median Salary$85,540$77,400
Employment35K32K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Response Orientation
Mechanical
Geography
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Thinking Creatively
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Performing General Physical Activities
Reaction Time
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Auditory Attention

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge

32%

total discount

Locomotive Engineers

28%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge

4 of 12 at risk
85%Arrange for ships to be stocked, fueled, or repaired.
79%Observe water from ships' mastheads to advise on navigational direction.
77%Observe loading or unloading of cargo or equipment to ensure that handling and storage are performed according to specifications.
61%Determine geographical positions of ships, using lorans, azimuths of celestial bodies, or computers, and use this information to determine the course and speed of a ship.
49%Stand watches on vessels during specified periods while vessels are under way.

Locomotive Engineers

13 of 15 at risk
87%Prepare reports regarding any problems encountered, such as accidents, signaling problems, unscheduled stops, or delays.
86%Monitor gauges or meters that measure speed, amperage, battery charge, or air pressure in brakelines or in main reservoirs.
85%Check to ensure that brake examination tests are conducted at shunting stations.
85%Check to ensure that documentation, such as procedure manuals or logbooks, are in the driver's cab and available for staff use.
77%Interpret train orders, signals, or railroad rules and regulations that govern the operation of locomotives.

Wage Comparison

Locomotive Engineers earns -$8,140(-10%) vs Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge
Mates- Ship, Boat, and BargeLocomotive Engineers
10th
$46,260$60,980
25th
$60,800$73,410
Median
$85,540$77,400
75th
$124,530$84,230
90th
$164,230$100,690

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge2028–2035
Locomotive Engineers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Locomotive Engineers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge

$58,065

from $85,540

Locomotive Engineers

$43,282

from $77,400

After adjusting for AI risk, Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge offers $14,782 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Mates-

0

Unique to Locomotive

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Fine Manipulation
Mates- Ship, Boat, and BargeLocomotive Engineers
Find transitions from Mates- Ship, Boat, and BargeFind transitions from Locomotive Engineers