Takeover Tracker
32%medium risk
Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge
vs

70 shared · 18 different

core competencies

32%medium risk
Rail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMates- Ship, Boat, and BargeRail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers
Risk Score32.1%31.9%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile52th51th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 128 / 15
Median Salary$85,540$58,030
Employment35K3K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Mechanical
Response Orientation
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Processing Information
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Performing General Physical Activities
Estimating the Quantifiable Characteristics of Products, Events, or Information
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Thinking Creatively
Analyzing Data or Information

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge

32%

total discount

Rail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge

4 of 12 at risk
85%Arrange for ships to be stocked, fueled, or repaired.
79%Observe water from ships' mastheads to advise on navigational direction.
77%Observe loading or unloading of cargo or equipment to ensure that handling and storage are performed according to specifications.
61%Determine geographical positions of ships, using lorans, azimuths of celestial bodies, or computers, and use this information to determine the course and speed of a ship.
49%Stand watches on vessels during specified periods while vessels are under way.

Rail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers

8 of 15 at risk
88%Read switching instructions and daily car schedules to determine work to be performed, or receive orders from yard conductors.
88%Observe water levels and oil, air, and steam pressure gauges to ensure proper operation of equipment.
86%Inspect track for defects such as broken rails and switch malfunctions.
84%Observe and respond to wayside and cab signals, including color light signals, position signals, torpedoes, flags, and hot box detectors.
84%Inspect the condition of stationary trains, rolling stock, and equipment.

Wage Comparison

Rail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers earns -$27,510(-32%) vs Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge
Mates- Ship, Boat, and BargeRail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers
10th
$46,260$44,510
25th
$60,800$51,770
Median
$85,540$58,030
75th
$124,530$65,530
90th
$164,230$79,070

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge2028–2035
Rail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Rail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge

$58,065

from $85,540

Rail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers

$39,524

from $58,030

After adjusting for AI risk, Mates- Ship, Boat, and Barge offers $18,540 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Mates-

0

Unique to Rail

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Mates- Ship, Boat, and BargeRail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers
Find transitions from Mates- Ship, Boat, and BargeFind transitions from Rail Yard Engineers, Dinkey Operators, and Hostlers