Takeover Tracker
vs

79 shared · 4 different

core competencies

19%low risk
Plumbers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMechanical Door RepairersPlumbers
Risk Score14.7%18.7%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile1th5th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)4 / 152 / 15
Median Salary$51,050$62,970
Employment28K456K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Design
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Mechanical
Education and Training

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Mechanical Door Repairers

29%

total discount

Plumbers

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Mechanical Door Repairers

4 of 15 at risk
88%Complete required paperwork, such as work orders, according to services performed or required.
88%Collect payment upon job completion.
86%Order replacement springs, sections, or slats.
51%Inspect job sites, assessing headroom, side room, or other conditions to determine appropriateness of door for a given location.
37%Lubricate door closer oil chambers and pack spindles with leather washers.

Plumbers

2 of 15 at risk
87%Keep records of work assignments.
54%Estimate time, material, or labor costs for use in project plans.
48%Review blueprints, building codes, or specifications to determine work details or procedures.
45%Inspect structures to assess material or equipment needs, to establish the sequence of pipe installations, or to plan installation around obstructions, such as electrical wiring.
38%Maintain or repair plumbing by replacing defective washers, replacing or mending broken pipes, or opening clogged drains.

Wage Comparison

Plumbers earns +$11,920(+23%) vs Mechanical Door Repairers
Mechanical Door RepairersPlumbers
10th
$37,160$40,670
25th
$44,720$48,860
Median
$51,050$62,970
75th
$61,350$81,900
90th
$73,160$105,150

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Mechanical Door Repairers20282035
Plumbers20282035
20242030203520402045

Mechanical Door Repairers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Plumbers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Mechanical Door Repairers

$43,535

from $51,050

Plumbers

$51,195

from $62,970

After adjusting for AI risk, Plumbers offers $7,659 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Mechanical

0

Unique to Plumbers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Mechanical Door RepairersPlumbers