Takeover Tracker
31%medium risk
Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers
vs

63 shared · 12 different

core competencies

30%medium risk
Marriage and Family Therapists

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMental Health and Substance Abuse Social WorkersMarriage and Family Therapists
Risk Score30.5%30.3%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile42th40th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)6 / 133 / 15
Median Salary$60,060$63,780
Employment126K66K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Sociology and Anthropology
Coaching and Developing Others
Processing Information
Thinking Creatively
Active Listening
Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates
Interpreting the Meaning of Information for Others
Documenting/Recording Information
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Computers and Electronics
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Assisting and Caring for Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers

35%

total discount

Marriage and Family Therapists

36%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers

6 of 13 at risk
76%Refer patient, client, or family to community resources for housing or treatment to assist in recovery from mental or physical illness, following through to ensure service efficacy.
69%Monitor, evaluate, and record client progress with respect to treatment goals.
67%Assist clients in adhering to treatment plans, such as setting up appointments, arranging for transportation to appointments, or providing support.
54%Modify treatment plans according to changes in client status.
51%Increase social work knowledge by reviewing current literature, conducting social research, or attending seminars, training workshops, or classes.

Marriage and Family Therapists

3 of 15 at risk
86%Maintain case files that include activities, progress notes, evaluations, and recommendations.
72%Provide instructions to clients on how to obtain help with legal, financial, and other personal issues.
53%Develop and implement individualized treatment plans addressing family relationship problems, destructive patterns of behavior, and other personal issues.
43%Ask questions that will help clients identify their feelings and behaviors.
43%Counsel clients on concerns, such as unsatisfactory relationships, divorce and separation, child rearing, home management, or financial difficulties.

Wage Comparison

Marriage and Family Therapists earns +$3,720(+6%) vs Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers
Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social WorkersMarriage and Family Therapists
10th
$39,620$42,610
25th
$46,550$48,600
Median
$60,060$63,780
75th
$78,980$85,020
90th
$104,130$111,610

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers2028–2035
Marriage and Family Therapists2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Marriage and Family Therapists has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social Workers

$41,724

from $60,060

Marriage and Family Therapists

$44,480

from $63,780

After adjusting for AI risk, Marriage and Family Therapists offers $2,756 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Mental

0

Unique to Marriage

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social WorkersMarriage and Family Therapists
Find transitions from Mental Health and Substance Abuse Social WorkersFind transitions from Marriage and Family Therapists