Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMetal-Refining Furnace Operators and TendersHeat Treating Equipment Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Risk Score44.2%44.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile90th91th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)7 / 1515 / 15
Median Salary$55,770$47,450
Employment20K15K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Controlling Machines and Processes
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Mechanical
Getting Information
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Administration and Management
Interacting With Computers
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Glare Sensitivity
Public Safety and Security
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders

26%

total discount

Heat Treating Equipment Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders

7 of 15 at risk
88%Record production data, and maintain production logs.
84%Observe air and temperature gauges or metal color and fluidity, and turn fuel valves or adjust controls to maintain required temperatures.
84%Observe operations inside furnaces, using television screens, to ensure that problems do not occur.
74%Draw smelted metal samples from furnaces or kettles for analysis, and calculate types and amounts of materials needed to ensure that materials meet specifications.
67%Regulate supplies of fuel and air, or control flow of electric current and water coolant to heat furnaces and adjust temperatures.

Heat Treating Equipment Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

15 of 15 at risk
88%Record times that parts are removed from furnaces to document that objects have attained specified temperatures for specified times.
86%Read production schedules and work orders to determine processing sequences, furnace temperatures, and heat cycle requirements for objects to be heat-treated.
85%Determine flame temperatures, current frequencies, heating cycles, and induction heating coils needed, based on degree of hardness required and properties of stock to be treated.
85%Determine types and temperatures of baths and quenching media needed to attain specified part hardness, toughness, and ductility, using heat-treating charts and knowledge of methods, equipment, and metals.
67%Examine parts to ensure metal shades and colors conform to specifications, using knowledge of metal heat-treating.

Wage Comparison

Heat Treating Equipment Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic earns -$8,320(-15%) vs Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders
Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and TendersHeat Treating Equipment Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
10th
$38,760$35,260
25th
$46,550$39,900
Median
$55,770$47,450
75th
$65,070$56,330
90th
$80,280$64,290

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders20282035
Heat Treating Equipment Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic20282035
20242030203520402045

Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Heat Treating Equipment Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders

$31,120

from $55,770

Heat Treating Equipment Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

$26,259

from $47,450

After adjusting for AI risk, Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and Tenders offers $4,861 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Metal-Refining

0

Unique to Heat

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Metal-Refining Furnace Operators and TendersHeat Treating Equipment Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic