Takeover Tracker
15%low risk
Millwrights
vs

80 shared · 30 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMillwrightsGeothermal Technicians
Risk Score14.6%28.6%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile1th32th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)0 / 156 / 15
Median Salary$65,170$48,640
Employment41K184K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Handling and Moving Objects
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Building and Construction
Developing and Building Teams
Mechanical
Coaching and Developing Others
Manual DexterityAI-Resistant
Design

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Millwrights

33%

total discount

Geothermal Technicians

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Millwrights

0 of 15 at risk
43%Attach moving parts and subassemblies to basic assembly unit, using hand tools and power tools.
41%Conduct preventative maintenance and repair, and lubricate machines and equipment.
35%Position steel beams to support bedplates of machines and equipment, using blueprints and schematic drawings, to determine work procedures.
19%Signal crane operator to lower basic assembly units to bedplate, and align unit to centerline.
11%Insert shims, adjust tension on nuts and bolts, or position parts, using hand tools and measuring instruments, to set specified clearances between moving and stationary parts.

Geothermal Technicians

6 of 15 at risk
88%Collect and record data associated with operating geothermal power plants or well fields.
86%Adjust power production systems to meet load and distribution demands.
86%Prepare and maintain logs, reports, or other documentation of work performed.
84%Monitor and adjust operations of geothermal power plant equipment or systems.
55%Determine whether emergency or auxiliary systems will be needed to keep properties heated or cooled in extreme weather conditions.

Wage Comparison

Geothermal Technicians earns -$16,530(-25%) vs Millwrights
MillwrightsGeothermal Technicians
10th
$45,100$35,270
25th
$55,420$40,700
Median
$65,170$48,640
75th
$80,580$61,090
90th
$93,740$77,150

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Millwrights20282035
Geothermal Technicians20282035
20242030203520402045

Millwrights has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Geothermal Technicians.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Millwrights

$55,649

from $65,170

Geothermal Technicians

$34,710

from $48,640

After adjusting for AI risk, Millwrights offers $20,939 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Millwrights

0

Unique to Geothermal

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
MillwrightsGeothermal Technicians