Takeover Tracker
15%low risk
Millwrights
vs

74 shared · 30 different

core competencies

18%low risk
Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMillwrightsPipe Fitters and Steamfitters
Risk Score14.6%17.8%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile1th3th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)0 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$65,170$62,970
Employment41K456K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Coaching and Developing Others
Documenting/Recording Information
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Developing and Building Teams
Mechanical
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Training and Teaching Others
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Monitoring and Controlling Resources

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Millwrights

33%

total discount

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

29%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Millwrights

0 of 15 at risk
43%Attach moving parts and subassemblies to basic assembly unit, using hand tools and power tools.
41%Conduct preventative maintenance and repair, and lubricate machines and equipment.
35%Position steel beams to support bedplates of machines and equipment, using blueprints and schematic drawings, to determine work procedures.
19%Signal crane operator to lower basic assembly units to bedplate, and align unit to centerline.
11%Insert shims, adjust tension on nuts and bolts, or position parts, using hand tools and measuring instruments, to set specified clearances between moving and stationary parts.

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

3 of 15 at risk
86%Select pipe sizes, types, or related materials, such as supports, hangers, or hydraulic cylinders, according to specifications.
55%Lay out full scale drawings of pipe systems, supports, or related equipment, according to blueprints.
51%Plan pipe system layout, installation, or repair, according to specifications.
43%Inspect work sites for obstructions or holes that could cause structural weakness.
39%Inspect, examine, or test installed systems or pipe lines, using pressure gauge, hydrostatic testing, observation, or other methods.

Wage Comparison

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters earns -$2,200(-3%) vs Millwrights
MillwrightsPipe Fitters and Steamfitters
10th
$45,100$40,670
25th
$55,420$48,860
Median
$65,170$62,970
75th
$80,580$81,900
90th
$93,740$105,150

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Millwrights2028–2035
Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Millwrights has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Millwrights

$55,649

from $65,170

Pipe Fitters and Steamfitters

$51,774

from $62,970

After adjusting for AI risk, Millwrights offers $3,875 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Millwrights

0

Unique to Pipe

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Creativity
MillwrightsPipe Fitters and Steamfitters
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