Takeover Tracker
15%low risk
Millwrights
vs

83 shared · 23 different

core competencies

28%medium risk
Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMillwrightsRotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas
Risk Score14.6%28.4%
Risk TierLow RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile1th31th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)0 / 154 / 15
Median Salary$65,170$65,010
Employment41K13K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Building and Construction
Mechanical
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
English Language
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Physics
Extent Flexibility
Coaching and Developing Others
Engineering and Technology

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Millwrights

33%

total discount

Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas

31%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Millwrights

0 of 15 at risk
43%Attach moving parts and subassemblies to basic assembly unit, using hand tools and power tools.
41%Conduct preventative maintenance and repair, and lubricate machines and equipment.
35%Position steel beams to support bedplates of machines and equipment, using blueprints and schematic drawings, to determine work procedures.
19%Signal crane operator to lower basic assembly units to bedplate, and align unit to centerline.
11%Insert shims, adjust tension on nuts and bolts, or position parts, using hand tools and measuring instruments, to set specified clearances between moving and stationary parts.

Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas

4 of 15 at risk
88%Maintain records of footage drilled, location and nature of strata penetrated, materials and tools used, services rendered, and time required.
86%Count sections of drill rod to determine depths of boreholes.
55%Observe pressure gauge and move throttles and levers to control the speed of rotary tables, and to regulate pressure of tools at bottoms of boreholes.
51%Push levers and brake pedals to control gasoline, diesel, electric, or steam draw works that lower and raise drill pipes and casings in and out of wells.
49%Connect sections of drill pipe, using hand tools and powered wrenches and tongs.

Wage Comparison

Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas earns -$160(0%) vs Millwrights
MillwrightsRotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas
10th
$45,100$42,750
25th
$55,420$52,600
Median
$65,170$65,010
75th
$80,580$81,550
90th
$93,740$98,510

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Millwrights2028–2035
Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Millwrights has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Millwrights

$55,649

from $65,170

Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas

$46,567

from $65,010

After adjusting for AI risk, Millwrights offers $9,082 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Millwrights

0

Unique to Rotary

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
MillwrightsRotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas
Find transitions from MillwrightsFind transitions from Rotary Drill Operators, Oil and Gas