Side-by-Side Comparison
Millwrights leads 5–0| Metric | Millwrights | Rough Carpenters |
|---|---|---|
| Risk Score | 14.6% | 23.4% |
| Risk Tier | Low Risk | Low Risk |
| Risk Percentile | 1th | 15th |
| Tasks at Risk (>50%) | 0 / 15 | 4 / 15 |
| Median Salary | $65,170 | $59,310 |
| Employment | 41K | 698K |
Skill Comparison
|
Sorted by largest difference
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Mechanical
Equipment MaintenanceAI-Resistant
Documenting/Recording Information
Repairing
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Troubleshooting
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Physics
Operation Monitoring
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Finger Dexterity
Protective Factors
Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement
Millwrights
33%
total discount
Rough Carpenters
31%
total discount
Task Risk Comparison
Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable
Millwrights
0 of 15 at risk43%Attach moving parts and subassemblies to basic assembly unit, using hand tools and power tools.
41%Conduct preventative maintenance and repair, and lubricate machines and equipment.
35%Position steel beams to support bedplates of machines and equipment, using blueprints and schematic drawings, to determine work procedures.
19%Signal crane operator to lower basic assembly units to bedplate, and align unit to centerline.
11%Insert shims, adjust tension on nuts and bolts, or position parts, using hand tools and measuring instruments, to set specified clearances between moving and stationary parts.
Rough Carpenters
4 of 15 at risk86%Maintain job records and schedule work crew.
84%Study blueprints and diagrams to determine dimensions of structure or form to be constructed.
62%Measure materials or distances, using square, measuring tape, or rule to lay out work.
51%Fabricate parts, using woodworking and metalworking machines.
43%Cut or saw boards, timbers, or plywood to required size, using handsaw, power saw, or woodworking machine.
Wage Comparison
Rough Carpenters earns -$5,860(-9%) vs Millwrights
MillwrightsRough Carpenters
10th
$45,100$38,760
25th
$55,420$47,550
Median
$65,170$59,310
75th
$80,580$75,620
90th
$93,740$98,370
Premium Head-to-Head Analysis
Displacement Timeline Comparison
Millwrights2028–2035
Rough Carpenters2028–2035
20242030203520402045
Millwrights has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Rough Carpenters.
Risk-Adjusted Salary
Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)
Millwrights
$55,649
from $65,170
Rough Carpenters
$45,414
from $59,310
After adjusting for AI risk, Millwrights offers $10,235 more in risk-adjusted pay.
Transition Feasibility
1%
Skill Overlap
Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition
0
Unique to Millwrights
0
Unique to Rough
Combined Protection Strategy
Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
MillwrightsRough Carpenters