Takeover Tracker
25%medium risk
Music Therapists
vs

71 shared · 13 different

core competencies

23%low risk
Recreational Therapists

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricMusic TherapistsRecreational Therapists
Risk Score25.5%22.7%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile21th13th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)5 / 152 / 11
Median Salary$60,280$60,280
Employment15K15K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Fine Arts
Scheduling Work and Activities
Therapy and Counseling
Hearing Sensitivity
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Administration and Management
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Performing General Physical Activities
Auditory Attention
Provide Consultation and Advice to Others
Thinking Creatively
Documenting/Recording Information

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Music Therapists

38%

total discount

Recreational Therapists

36%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Music Therapists

5 of 15 at risk
86%Document evaluations, treatment plans, case summaries, or progress or other reports related to individual clients or client groups.
74%Observe and document client reactions, progress, or other outcomes related to music therapy.
51%Design music therapy experiences, using various musical elements to meet client's goals or objectives.
51%Plan or structure music therapy sessions to achieve appropriate transitions, pacing, sequencing, energy level, or intensity in accordance with treatment plans.
51%Integrate behavioral, developmental, improvisational, medical, or neurological approaches into music therapy treatments.

Recreational Therapists

2 of 11 at risk
86%Prepare and submit reports and charts to treatment team to reflect patients' reactions and evidence of progress or regression.
52%Develop treatment plan to meet needs of patient, based on needs assessment, patient interests, and objectives of therapy.
47%Develop discharge plans for patients.
45%Obtain information from medical records, medical staff, family members and the patients themselves to assess patients' capabilities, needs and interests.
43%Counsel and encourage patients to develop leisure activities.

Wage Comparison

Recreational Therapists earns $0(0%) vs Music Therapists
Music TherapistsRecreational Therapists
10th
$39,520$39,520
25th
$48,230$48,230
Median
$60,280$60,280
75th
$77,680$77,680
90th
$96,600$96,600

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Music Therapists2028–2035
Recreational Therapists2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Recreational Therapists has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Music Therapists.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Music Therapists

$44,915

from $60,280

Recreational Therapists

$46,615

from $60,280

After adjusting for AI risk, Recreational Therapists offers $1,700 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Music

0

Unique to Recreational

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Music TherapistsRecreational Therapists
Find transitions from Music TherapistsFind transitions from Recreational Therapists