Takeover Tracker
20%low risk
Nannies
vs

23 shared · 26 different

core competencies

17%low risk
Crossing Guards

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricNanniesCrossing Guards
Risk Score20.0%17.1%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile7th2th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)2 / 152 / 12
Median Salary$32,050$37,700
Employment520K90K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Assisting and Caring for Others
Social PerceptivenessAI-Resistant
MonitoringAI-Augmented
Thinking Creatively
PersuasionAI-Resistant
Public Safety and Security
Complex Problem SolvingAI-Resistant
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
NegotiationAI-Resistant
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Service OrientationAI-Resistant
Written Comprehension

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Nannies

34%

total discount

Crossing Guards

23%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Nannies

2 of 15 at risk
74%Regulate children's rest periods and nap schedules.
52%Observe children's behavior for irregularities, take temperature, transport children to doctor, or administer medications, as directed, to maintain children's health.
45%Teach and perform age-appropriate activities, such as lap play, reading, and arts and crafts, to encourage intellectual development of children.
35%Remove hazards and develop appropriate boundaries and rules to create a safe environment for children.
35%Supervise and assist with homework.

Crossing Guards

2 of 12 at risk
88%Record license numbers of vehicles disregarding traffic signals, and report infractions to appropriate authorities.
86%Learn the location and purpose of street traffic signs within assigned patrol areas.
45%Distribute traffic control signs and markers at designated points.
41%Monitor traffic flow to locate safe gaps through which pedestrians can cross streets.
29%Inform drivers of detour routes through construction sites.

Wage Comparison

Crossing Guards earns +$5,650(+18%) vs Nannies
NanniesCrossing Guards
10th
$22,900$29,940
25th
$28,000$34,280
Median
$32,050$37,700
75th
$36,960$46,920
90th
$44,560$61,440

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Nannies20282035
Crossing Guards20282035
20242030203520402045

Crossing Guards has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Nannies.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Nannies

$25,627

from $32,050

Crossing Guards

$31,268

from $37,700

After adjusting for AI risk, Crossing Guards offers $5,641 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Nannies

0

Unique to Crossing

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
NanniesCrossing Guards