Takeover Tracker
27%medium risk
Natural Sciences Managers
vs

70 shared · 14 different

core competencies

32%medium risk
Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricNatural Sciences ManagersEnvironmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health
Risk Score27.3%31.9%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile26th51th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 154 / 15
Median Salary$161,180$80,060
Employment101K85K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Thinking Creatively
Management of Personnel Resources
Coaching and Developing Others
Training and Teaching Others
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Guiding, Directing, and Motivating Subordinates
Monitoring and Controlling Resources
Clerical
Administration and Management
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Physics
Developing Objectives and Strategies

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Natural Sciences Managers

32%

total discount

Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health

31%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Natural Sciences Managers

3 of 15 at risk
84%Prepare and administer budgets, approve and review expenditures, and prepare financial reports.
53%Conduct own research in field of expertise.
52%Prepare project proposals.
49%Design or coordinate successive phases of problem analysis, solution proposals, or testing.
47%Develop or implement policies, standards, or procedures for the architectural, scientific, or technical work performed to ensure regulatory compliance or operations enhancement.

Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health

4 of 15 at risk
87%Prepare charts or graphs from data samples, providing summary information on the environmental relevance of the data.
63%Process and review environmental permits, licenses, or related materials.
55%Develop the technical portions of legal documents, administrative orders, or consent decrees.
51%Monitor effects of pollution or land degradation and recommend means of prevention or control.
49%Analyze data to determine validity, quality, and scientific significance and to interpret correlations between human activities and environmental effects.

Wage Comparison

Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health earns -$81,120(-50%) vs Natural Sciences Managers
Natural Sciences ManagersEnvironmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health
10th
$79,830$50,130
25th
$114,110$62,090
Median
$161,180$80,060
75th
$214,820$103,730
90th
$239,200$134,830

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Natural Sciences Managers2028–2035
Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Natural Sciences Managers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Natural Sciences Managers

$117,258

from $161,180

Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health

$54,521

from $80,060

After adjusting for AI risk, Natural Sciences Managers offers $62,738 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Natural

0

Unique to Environmental

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Natural Sciences ManagersEnvironmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health
Find transitions from Natural Sciences ManagersFind transitions from Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health