Takeover Tracker
33%medium risk
Nursery Workers
vs

26 shared · 5 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricNursery WorkersHelpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons
Risk Score33.4%24.9%
Risk TierMedium RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile59th19th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 153 / 11
Median Salary$35,690$38,140
Employment262K7K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Gross Body Equilibrium
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Communicating with Persons Outside Organization
Flexibility of Closure
Performing General Physical Activities

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Nursery Workers

22%

total discount

Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons

23%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Nursery Workers

8 of 15 at risk
86%Regulate greenhouse conditions, and indoor and outdoor irrigation systems.
86%Maintain inventory, ordering materials as required.
84%Record information about plants and plant growth.
61%Fill growing tanks with water.
57%Cut, roll, and stack sod.

Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons

3 of 11 at risk
55%Pour specified amounts of chemical solutions into stripping tanks.
51%Place articles to be stripped into stripping tanks.
51%Remove articles such as cabinets, metal furniture, and paint containers from stripping tanks after prescribed periods of time.
47%Smooth surfaces of articles to be painted, using sanding and buffing tools and equipment.
43%Supply or hold tools and materials.

Wage Comparison

Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons earns +$2,450(+7%) vs Nursery Workers
Nursery WorkersHelpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons
10th
$32,260$31,360
25th
$34,280$35,230
Median
$35,690$38,140
75th
$38,950$45,290
90th
$46,370$51,720

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Nursery Workers20282035
Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons20282035
20242030203520402045

Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Nursery Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Nursery Workers

$23,766

from $35,690

Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons

$28,651

from $38,140

After adjusting for AI risk, Helpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons offers $4,885 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Nursery

0

Unique to Helpers--Painters,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Decision Complexity
Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Nursery WorkersHelpers--Painters, Paperhangers, Plasterers, and Stucco Masons