Takeover Tracker
22%low risk
Painters, Construction and Maintenance
vs

59 shared · 15 different

core competencies

18%low risk
Construction Laborers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPainters, Construction and MaintenanceConstruction Laborers
Risk Score21.9%17.8%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile11th4th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$48,660$46,730
Employment224K1.1M

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Handling and Moving Objects
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Coordinating the Work and Activities of Others
Resolving Conflicts and Negotiating with Others
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Static Strength
Assisting and Caring for Others
Mechanical
Operating Vehicles, Mechanized Devices, or Equipment
Performing General Physical Activities
Manual DexterityAI-Resistant
Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Painters, Construction and Maintenance

28%

total discount

Construction Laborers

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Painters, Construction and Maintenance

3 of 15 at risk
86%Read work orders or receive instructions from supervisors or homeowners to determine work requirements.
74%Calculate amounts of required materials and estimate costs, based on surface measurements or work orders.
51%Mix and match colors of paint, stain, or varnish with oil or thinning and drying additives to obtain desired colors and consistencies.
49%Smooth surfaces, using sandpaper, scrapers, brushes, steel wool, or sanding machines.
49%Wash and treat surfaces with oil, turpentine, mildew remover, or other preparations, and sand rough spots to ensure that finishes will adhere properly.

Construction Laborers

3 of 15 at risk
71%Measure, mark, or record openings or distances to layout areas where construction work will be performed.
70%Operate or maintain air monitoring or other sampling devices in confined or hazardous environments.
68%Read plans, instructions, or specifications to determine work activities.
49%Tend pumps, compressors, or generators to provide power for tools, machinery, or equipment or to heat or move materials, such as asphalt.
47%Control traffic passing near, in, or around work zones.

Wage Comparison

Construction Laborers earns -$1,930(-4%) vs Painters, Construction and Maintenance
Painters, Construction and MaintenanceConstruction Laborers
10th
$36,680$34,200
25th
$42,510$38,100
Median
$48,660$46,730
75th
$60,270$58,910
90th
$76,550$77,530

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Painters, Construction and Maintenance2028–2035
Construction Laborers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Construction Laborers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Painters, Construction and Maintenance.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Painters, Construction and Maintenance

$38,028

from $48,660

Construction Laborers

$38,412

from $46,730

After adjusting for AI risk, Construction Laborers offers $384 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Painters,

0

Unique to Construction

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Decision Complexity
Creativity
Painters, Construction and MaintenanceConstruction Laborers
Find transitions from Painters, Construction and MaintenanceFind transitions from Construction Laborers