Takeover Tracker
22%low risk
Painters, Construction and Maintenance
vs

58 shared · 10 different

core competencies

20%low risk
Plasterers and Stucco Masons

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPainters, Construction and MaintenancePlasterers and Stucco Masons
Risk Score21.9%19.9%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile11th7th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 151 / 15
Median Salary$48,660$56,020
Employment224K21K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Education and Training
Public Safety and Security
Controlling Machines and Processes
Judging the Qualities of Things, Services, or People
Getting Information
Transportation
Customer and Personal Service
Building and Construction
Design
Handling and Moving Objects

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Painters, Construction and Maintenance

28%

total discount

Plasterers and Stucco Masons

27%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Painters, Construction and Maintenance

3 of 15 at risk
86%Read work orders or receive instructions from supervisors or homeowners to determine work requirements.
74%Calculate amounts of required materials and estimate costs, based on surface measurements or work orders.
51%Mix and match colors of paint, stain, or varnish with oil or thinning and drying additives to obtain desired colors and consistencies.
49%Smooth surfaces, using sandpaper, scrapers, brushes, steel wool, or sanding machines.
49%Wash and treat surfaces with oil, turpentine, mildew remover, or other preparations, and sand rough spots to ensure that finishes will adhere properly.

Plasterers and Stucco Masons

1 of 15 at risk
85%Determine materials needed to complete the job and place orders accordingly.
49%Mix mortar and plaster to desired consistency or direct workers who perform mixing.
49%Spray acoustic materials or texture finish over walls or ceilings.
45%Clean job sites.
43%Rough the undercoat surface with a scratcher so the finish coat will adhere.

Wage Comparison

Plasterers and Stucco Masons earns +$7,360(+15%) vs Painters, Construction and Maintenance
Painters, Construction and MaintenancePlasterers and Stucco Masons
10th
$36,680$38,610
25th
$42,510$46,990
Median
$48,660$56,020
75th
$60,270$72,210
90th
$76,550$92,930

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Painters, Construction and Maintenance2028–2035
Plasterers and Stucco Masons2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Plasterers and Stucco Masons has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Painters, Construction and Maintenance.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Painters, Construction and Maintenance

$38,028

from $48,660

Plasterers and Stucco Masons

$44,850

from $56,020

After adjusting for AI risk, Plasterers and Stucco Masons offers $6,822 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Painters,

0

Unique to Plasterers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Painters, Construction and MaintenancePlasterers and Stucco Masons
Find transitions from Painters, Construction and MaintenanceFind transitions from Plasterers and Stucco Masons