Takeover Tracker
43%medium risk
Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers
vs

34 shared · 8 different

core competencies

37%medium risk
Bakers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPainting, Coating, and Decorating WorkersBakers
Risk Score42.5%36.6%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile86th71th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)7 / 138 / 15
Median Salary$40,860$36,650
Employment8K232K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Customer and Personal Service
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Handling and Moving Objects
Controlling Machines and Processes
Active LearningAI-Augmented
Performing General Physical Activities
Design
Arm-Hand Steadiness

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers

24%

total discount

Bakers

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers

7 of 13 at risk
84%Read job orders and inspect workpieces to determine work procedures and materials required.
63%Apply coatings, such as paint, ink, or lacquer, to protect or decorate workpiece surfaces, using spray guns, pens, or brushes.
59%Melt or heat coating materials to specified temperatures.
59%Immerse workpieces into coating materials for specified times.
57%Examine finished surfaces of workpieces to verify conformance to specifications and retouch any defective areas.

Bakers

8 of 15 at risk
85%Direct or coordinate bakery deliveries.
73%Adapt the quantity of ingredients to match the amount of items to be baked.
65%Set time and speed controls for mixing machines, blending machines, or steam kettles so that ingredients will be mixed or cooked according to instructions.
63%Operate slicing or wrapping machines.
61%Check products for quality and identify damaged or expired goods.

Wage Comparison

Bakers earns -$4,210(-10%) vs Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers
Painting, Coating, and Decorating WorkersBakers
10th
$28,490$27,560
25th
$34,540$31,470
Median
$40,860$36,650
75th
$50,700$42,570
90th
$62,770$48,260

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers2028–2035
Bakers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Bakers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers

$23,482

from $40,860

Bakers

$23,225

from $36,650

After adjusting for AI risk, Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers offers $257 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Painting,

0

Unique to Bakers

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Creativity
Decision Complexity
Painting, Coating, and Decorating WorkersBakers
Find transitions from Painting, Coating, and Decorating WorkersFind transitions from Bakers