Takeover Tracker
43%medium risk
Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers
vs

12 shared · 7 different

core competencies

26%medium risk
Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPainting, Coating, and Decorating WorkersShoe and Leather Workers and Repairers
Risk Score42.5%26.4%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile86th23th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)7 / 133 / 15
Median Salary$40,860$35,950
Employment8K8K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Production and Processing
Controlling Machines and Processes
Inspecting Equipment, Structures, or Material
Sales and Marketing
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Thinking Creatively
Visual Color Discrimination

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers

24%

total discount

Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers

20%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers

7 of 13 at risk
84%Read job orders and inspect workpieces to determine work procedures and materials required.
63%Apply coatings, such as paint, ink, or lacquer, to protect or decorate workpiece surfaces, using spray guns, pens, or brushes.
59%Melt or heat coating materials to specified temperatures.
59%Immerse workpieces into coating materials for specified times.
57%Examine finished surfaces of workpieces to verify conformance to specifications and retouch any defective areas.

Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers

3 of 15 at risk
86%Estimate the costs of requested products or services such as custom footwear or footwear repair, and receive payment from customers.
57%Cut out parts, following patterns or outlines, using knives, shears, scissors, or machine presses.
51%Align and stitch or glue materials such as fabric, fleece, leather, or wood, to join parts.
49%Place shoes on lasts to remove soles and heels, using knives or pliers.
49%Clean and polish shoes.

Wage Comparison

Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers earns -$4,910(-12%) vs Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers
Painting, Coating, and Decorating WorkersShoe and Leather Workers and Repairers
10th
$28,490$25,170
25th
$34,540$29,400
Median
$40,860$35,950
75th
$50,700$41,400
90th
$62,770$48,090

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers2028–2035
Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Painting, Coating, and Decorating Workers

$23,482

from $40,860

Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers

$26,445

from $35,950

After adjusting for AI risk, Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers offers $2,963 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Painting,

0

Unique to Shoe

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Decision Complexity
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Painting, Coating, and Decorating WorkersShoe and Leather Workers and Repairers
Find transitions from Painting, Coating, and Decorating WorkersFind transitions from Shoe and Leather Workers and Repairers