Takeover Tracker
20%low risk
Paperhangers
vs

44 shared · 12 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPaperhangersCarpet Installers
Risk Score19.8%15.5%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile6th1th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 153 / 15
Median Salary$48,260$49,850
Employment2K15K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Controlling Machines and Processes
Static Strength
Getting Information
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge
Monitor Processes, Materials, or Surroundings
Making Decisions and Solving Problems
Handling and Moving Objects
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Communicating with Supervisors, Peers, or Subordinates
Dynamic Strength
Gross Body Equilibrium
Training and Teaching Others

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Paperhangers

26%

total discount

Carpet Installers

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Paperhangers

3 of 15 at risk
84%Check finished wallcoverings for proper alignment, pattern matching, and neatness of seams.
71%Measure surfaces or review work orders to estimate the quantities of materials needed.
51%Measure and cut strips from rolls of wallpaper or fabric, using shears or razors.
49%Apply sizing to seal surfaces and maximize adhesion of coverings to surfaces.
47%Mark vertical guidelines on walls to align strips, using plumb bobs and chalk lines.

Carpet Installers

3 of 15 at risk
87%Take measurements and study floor sketches to calculate the area to be carpeted and the amount of material needed.
85%Draw building diagrams and record dimensions.
57%Plan the layout of the carpet, allowing for expected traffic patterns and placing seams for best appearance and longest wear.
45%Clean up before and after installation, including vacuuming carpet and discarding remnant pieces.
9%Cut and install vinyl composition tile or vinyl base.

Wage Comparison

Carpet Installers earns +$1,590(+3%) vs Paperhangers
PaperhangersCarpet Installers
10th
$35,020$32,830
25th
$40,930$39,140
Median
$48,260$49,850
75th
$58,470$65,530
90th
$69,470$83,200

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Paperhangers20282035
Carpet Installers20282035
20242030203520402045

Carpet Installers has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Paperhangers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Paperhangers

$38,724

from $48,260

Carpet Installers

$42,133

from $49,850

After adjusting for AI risk, Carpet Installers offers $3,409 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Paperhangers

0

Unique to Carpet

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Decision Complexity
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
PaperhangersCarpet Installers