Takeover Tracker
20%low risk
Paperhangers
vs

35 shared · 9 different

core competencies

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPaperhangersInsulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall
Risk Score19.8%13.4%
Risk TierLow RiskLow Risk
Risk Percentile6th1th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)3 / 151 / 10
Median Salary$48,260$48,680
Employment2K39K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment
Performing General Physical Activities
Customer and Personal Service
Controlling Machines and Processes
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Getting Information
Operation and Control

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Paperhangers

26%

total discount

Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Paperhangers

3 of 15 at risk
84%Check finished wallcoverings for proper alignment, pattern matching, and neatness of seams.
71%Measure surfaces or review work orders to estimate the quantities of materials needed.
51%Measure and cut strips from rolls of wallpaper or fabric, using shears or razors.
49%Apply sizing to seal surfaces and maximize adhesion of coverings to surfaces.
47%Mark vertical guidelines on walls to align strips, using plumb bobs and chalk lines.

Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall

1 of 10 at risk
85%Read blueprints and select appropriate insulation, based on space characteristics and the heat retaining or excluding characteristics of the material.
47%Move controls, buttons, or levers to start blowers and regulate flow of materials through nozzles.
47%Fill blower hoppers with insulating materials.
11%Measure and cut insulation for covering surfaces, using tape measures, handsaws, power saws, knives, or scissors.
11%Fit, wrap, staple, or glue insulating materials to structures or surfaces, using hand tools or wires.

Wage Comparison

Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall earns +$420(+1%) vs Paperhangers
PaperhangersInsulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall
10th
$35,020$35,950
25th
$40,930$40,270
Median
$48,260$48,680
75th
$58,470$60,420
90th
$69,470$77,160

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Paperhangers20282035
Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall20282035
20242030203520402045

Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Paperhangers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Paperhangers

$38,724

from $48,260

Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall

$42,142

from $48,680

After adjusting for AI risk, Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall offers $3,418 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Paperhangers

0

Unique to Insulation

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Social Intelligence
Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
PaperhangersInsulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall