Takeover Tracker
32%medium risk
Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic
vs

47 shared · 12 different

core competencies

38%medium risk
Engine and Other Machine Assemblers

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPatternmakers, Metal and PlasticEngine and Other Machine Assemblers
Risk Score31.6%38.2%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile48th76th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 158 / 12
Median Salary$54,540$52,540
Employment2K38K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Handling and Moving Objects
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Performing General Physical Activities
Establishing and Maintaining Interpersonal Relationships
Static Strength
Developing Objectives and Strategies
Identifying Objects, Actions, and Events
Thinking Creatively
Design
Extent Flexibility
MathematicsAI-Vulnerable

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

25%

total discount

Engine and Other Machine Assemblers

26%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

8 of 15 at risk
84%Select pattern materials such as wood, resin, and fiberglass.
73%Program computerized numerical control machine tools.
59%Mark identification numbers or symbols onto patterns or templates.
57%Paint or lacquer patterns.
55%Create computer models of patterns or parts, using modeling software.

Engine and Other Machine Assemblers

8 of 12 at risk
84%Read and interpret assembly blueprints or specifications manuals and plan assembly or building operations.
63%Lay out and drill, ream, tap, or cut parts for assembly.
61%Set up and operate metalworking machines, such as milling or grinding machines, to shape or fabricate parts.
60%Verify conformance of parts to stock lists or blueprints, using measuring instruments, such as calipers, gauges, or micrometers.
59%Inspect, operate, and test completed products to verify functioning, machine capabilities, or conformance to customer specifications.

Wage Comparison

Engine and Other Machine Assemblers earns -$2,000(-4%) vs Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic
Patternmakers, Metal and PlasticEngine and Other Machine Assemblers
10th
$39,150$37,950
25th
$47,520$42,790
Median
$54,540$52,540
75th
$66,590$70,050
90th
$79,690$74,300

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic2028–2035
Engine and Other Machine Assemblers2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Engine and Other Machine Assemblers.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

$37,284

from $54,540

Engine and Other Machine Assemblers

$32,480

from $52,540

After adjusting for AI risk, Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic offers $4,803 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Patternmakers,

0

Unique to Engine

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Fine Manipulation
Creativity
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Patternmakers, Metal and PlasticEngine and Other Machine Assemblers
Find transitions from Patternmakers, Metal and PlasticFind transitions from Engine and Other Machine Assemblers