Takeover Tracker
32%medium risk
Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic
vs

49 shared · 11 different

core competencies

40%medium risk
Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPatternmakers, Metal and PlasticLathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Risk Score31.6%39.5%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile48th79th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 156 / 15
Median Salary$54,540$48,620
Employment2K19K

Skill Comparison

|

Sorted by largest difference

Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Handling and Moving Objects
Design
Documenting/Recording Information
Production and Processing
Static Strength
Engineering and Technology
Drafting, Laying Out, and Specifying Technical Devices, Parts, and Equipment
Evaluating Information to Determine Compliance with Standards
Thinking Creatively
Repairing and Maintaining Mechanical Equipment

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

25%

total discount

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

8 of 15 at risk
84%Select pattern materials such as wood, resin, and fiberglass.
73%Program computerized numerical control machine tools.
59%Mark identification numbers or symbols onto patterns or templates.
57%Paint or lacquer patterns.
55%Create computer models of patterns or parts, using modeling software.

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

6 of 15 at risk
88%Compute unspecified dimensions and machine settings, using knowledge of metal properties and shop mathematics.
86%Study blueprints, layouts or charts, and job orders for information on specifications and tooling instructions, and to determine material requirements and operational sequences.
86%Select cutting tools and tooling instructions, according to written specifications or knowledge of metal properties and shop mathematics.
85%Program computer numerical control machines.
74%Inspect sample workpieces to verify conformance with specifications, using instruments such as gauges, micrometers, and dial indicators.

Wage Comparison

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic earns -$5,920(-11%) vs Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic
Patternmakers, Metal and PlasticLathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
10th
$39,150$36,200
25th
$47,520$41,180
Median
$54,540$48,620
75th
$66,590$58,100
90th
$79,690$65,450

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic2028–2035
Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic2028–2035
20242030203520402045

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

$37,284

from $54,540

Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

$29,391

from $48,620

After adjusting for AI risk, Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic offers $7,893 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Patternmakers,

0

Unique to Lathe

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Regulatory Barriers
Social Intelligence
Patternmakers, Metal and PlasticLathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Find transitions from Patternmakers, Metal and PlasticFind transitions from Lathe and Turning Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic