Takeover Tracker

Side-by-Side Comparison

MetricPatternmakers, Metal and PlasticMolding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
Risk Score31.6%33.3%
Risk TierMedium RiskMedium Risk
Risk Percentile48th58th
Tasks at Risk (>50%)8 / 158 / 15
Median Salary$54,540$41,230
Employment2K155K

Skill Comparison

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Sorted by largest difference

Handling and Moving Objects
Design
Thinking Creatively
Organizing, Planning, and Prioritizing Work
Static Strength
Engineering and Technology
Processing Information
Developing Objectives and Strategies
Interacting With Computers
Updating and Using Relevant Knowledge

Protective Factors

Higher values indicate stronger protection against AI displacement

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

25%

total discount

Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

25%

total discount

Task Risk Comparison

Tasks sorted by AI automation risk — higher means more automatable

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

8 of 15 at risk
84%Select pattern materials such as wood, resin, and fiberglass.
73%Program computerized numerical control machine tools.
59%Mark identification numbers or symbols onto patterns or templates.
57%Paint or lacquer patterns.
55%Create computer models of patterns or parts, using modeling software.

Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

8 of 15 at risk
86%Observe meters and gauges to verify and record temperatures, pressures, and press-cycle times.
71%Read specifications, blueprints, and work orders to determine setups, temperatures, and time settings required to mold, form, or cast plastic materials, as well as to plan production sequences.
65%Measure and visually inspect products for surface and dimension defects to ensure conformance to specifications, using precision measuring instruments.
63%Observe continuous operation of automatic machines to ensure that products meet specifications and to detect jams or malfunctions, making adjustments as necessary.
61%Turn valves and dials of machines to regulate pressure, temperature, and speed and feed rates, and to set cycle times.

Wage Comparison

Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic earns -$13,310(-24%) vs Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic
Patternmakers, Metal and PlasticMolding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic
10th
$39,150$31,990
25th
$47,520$36,290
Median
$54,540$41,230
75th
$66,590$49,100
90th
$79,690$60,110

Premium Head-to-Head Analysis

Displacement Timeline Comparison

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic20282035
Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic20282035
20242030203520402045

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic has a longer runway before significant displacement, projected 0 years later than Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic.

Risk-Adjusted Salary

Salary weighted by displacement risk: salary × (1 − risk%)

Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic

$37,284

from $54,540

Molding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

$27,500

from $41,230

After adjusting for AI risk, Patternmakers, Metal and Plastic offers $9,783 more in risk-adjusted pay.

Transition Feasibility

1%

Skill Overlap

Low overlap — significant retraining needed for transition

0

Unique to Patternmakers,

0

Unique to Molding,

Combined Protection Strategy

Regardless of which path you choose, focus on these protective factors

Creativity
Fine Manipulation
Social Intelligence
Regulatory Barriers
Patternmakers, Metal and PlasticMolding, Coremaking, and Casting Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic